San Jose State Spartans Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the San Jose State Spartans. All of these projections for San Jose St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

San Jose St Record and Rankings

Record: 3-13
Projected Final Record: 6.1-23.9

Mountain West Conference Record: 0-4
Projected Final Mountain West Record: 3.1-14.9
Projected Final Rank in the Mountain West: 11

San Jose St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 326
RPI Rank: 314
NET Rank: 311
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 0-6 2-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.400

Our current projections give the San Jose State Spartans a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account San Jose St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the San Jose State Spartans. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

San Jose St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 No Rank Life Pacific Home W 89-72
11/10 241 Southern Utah Home L 59-66
11/15 177 Weber St Neutral L 77-85
11/17 146 CS Bakersfield Neutral L 72-73
11/18 120 C Michigan Neutral L 74-76
11/24 192 Santa Clara Home L 63-71
11/28 163 Indiana St Home L 57-86
12/6 312 Bethune-Cookman Home W 67-65
12/15 287 Northern Arizona Home W 79-74
12/18 132 Stanford Away L 73-78
12/21 226 California Away L 80-88
12/29 64 St Mary’s CA Away L 45-75
1/2 59 Fresno St Home L 53-73
1/9 20 Nevada Away L 53-92
1/12 154 Boise St Home L 64-87
1/16 56 Utah St Home L 63-81
1/19 165 UNLV Away 7.8%
1/23 307 Wyoming Away 29%
1/26 232 Air Force Home 40.5%
1/30 56 Utah St Away 1.4%
2/2 151 San Diego St Home 24.3%
2/9 154 Boise St Away 7.4%
2/13 186 New Mexico Away 11.7%
2/16 165 UNLV Home 29.7%
2/20 212 Colorado St Home 38.9%
2/23 232 Air Force Away 16.2%
2/27 186 New Mexico Home 36.6%
3/2 151 San Diego St Away 8%
3/6 307 Wyoming Home 55.5%
3/9 59 Fresno St Away 4.9%