Santa Clara Broncos Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Santa Clara Broncos. All of these projections for Santa Clara are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Santa Clara Record and Rankings

Record: 16-15
Projected Final Record: 16.0-15.0

WCC Conference Record: 8-8
Projected Final WCC Record: 8.0-8.0
Projected Final Rank in the WCC: 6

Santa Clara Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 172
RPI Rank: 185
NET Rank: 180
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-6 0-5 5-2 10-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.714 0.833

Our current projections give the Santa Clara Broncos a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Santa Clara’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Santa Clara Broncos. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Santa Clara Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 187 Prairie View Home L 64-81
11/15 70 UC Irvine Home L 49-61
11/18 42 Washington Neutral L 68-82
11/20 32 Minnesota Neutral L 66-80
11/24 339 San Jose St Away W 71-63
11/26 230 California Away L 66-78
11/29 327 Jackson St Home W 81-70
12/1 304 Northern Arizona Home W 81-74
12/7 318 Idaho St Home L 66-68
12/9 No Rank Sonoma St Home W 82-54
12/13 350 MS Valley St Home W 82-54
12/18 120 USC Home W 102-92
12/21 345 Idaho Home W 77-56
12/29 200 Washington St Neutal W 79-71
1/3 102 San Diego Home W 68-56
1/5 7 Gonzaga Away L 48-91
1/10 167 Pepperdine Home W 67-64
1/12 90 BYU Away L 74-80
1/17 39 St Mary’s CA Away L 55-75
1/19 199 Pacific Away W 69-57
1/24 7 Gonzaga Home L 39-98
1/26 134 Loy Marymount Home L 61-69
2/2 329 Portland Home W 69-63
2/7 167 Pepperdine Away W 79-71
2/9 94 San Francisco Away L 72-78
2/14 39 St Mary’s CA Home L 55-66
2/16 199 Pacific Home W 64-59
2/23 94 San Francisco Home W 68-65
2/28 134 Loy Marymount Away L 70-72
3/2 329 Portland Away W 78-62
3/8 102 San Diego Neutral L 45-62