These are the latest Southeastern Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the SEC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 12/10/2018.
SEC Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
Projected SEC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Southeastern Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|Arkansas||Next 4 Out||4.81|
Projected SEC Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Southeastern Conference standings.
SEC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Southeastern Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. After spending 2018 in the Scottrade Center, the tournament is back in Nashville through the 2021 season. The top four teams in the SEC Men’s Basketball Tournament gets byes into the Quarterfinals.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Bridgestone Arena (Nashville, TN)
First Round: March 13th, 2019
Second Round: March 14th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 15th, 2019
Semifinals: March 16th, 2019
Finals: March 17th, 2019
SEC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|1/5||Kentucky||58.2%||Alabama||41.8%||Kentucky wins by 3|
|1/5||Georgia||3.6%||Tennessee||96.4%||Tennessee wins by 19|
|1/5||Mississippi||43.7%||Vanderbilt||56.3%||Vanderbilt wins by 2|
|1/5||South Carolina||8.3%||Florida||91.7%||Florida wins by 13|
|1/5||Arkansas||57.1%||Texas A&M||42.9%||Arkansas wins by 3|
|1/8||Texas A&M||12.2%||Kentucky||87.8%||Kentucky wins by 12|
|1/8||Tennessee||83%||Missouri||17%||Tennessee wins by 10|
|1/8||Mississippi St||80.9%||South Carolina||19.1%||Mississippi St wins by 9|
|1/8||Alabama||29.7%||LSU||70.3%||LSU wins by 7|
|1/9||Auburn||64.5%||Mississippi||35.5%||Auburn wins by 5|
|1/9||Vanderbilt||54%||Georgia||46%||Vanderbilt wins by 2|
|1/9||Florida||43.5%||Arkansas||56.5%||Arkansas wins by 2|
|1/12||Texas A&M||23.3%||Alabama||76.7%||Alabama wins by 8|
|1/12||Missouri||55.9%||South Carolina||44.1%||Missouri wins by 2|
|1/12||Georgia||6.6%||Auburn||93.4%||Auburn wins by 16|
|1/12||Mississippi||19.4%||Mississippi St||80.6%||Mississippi St wins by 9|
|1/12||Vanderbilt||18.4%||Kentucky||81.6%||Kentucky wins by 9|
|1/12||LSU||40.9%||Arkansas||59.2%||Arkansas wins by 3|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|