Seton Hall Pirates Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Seton Hall Pirates. All of these projections for Seton Hall are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Seton Hall Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 19.3-9.7

Big East Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big East Record: 11.1-6.9
Projected Final Rank in the Big East: 2

Seton Hall Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 27
RPI Rank: 218
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 11 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Seton Hall Pirates a 75.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 17.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 7.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Seton Hall’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 2.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 5.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 6.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 9.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 14.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 13.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 19.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 11.6%
NIT #2 Seed 4.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.8%
NIT #4 Seed 0.8%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Seton Hall Pirates. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Seton Hall Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 260 Wagner Home W 89-49
11/9 No Rank New Haven Home W 73-62
11/14 13 Nebraska Away 24.7%
11/17 146 St Louis Home 92%
11/22 143 Grand Canyon Neutal 84.1%
12/1 38 Louisville Home 68.3%
12/4 340 New Hampshire Home 99.4%
12/8 11 Kentucky Neutral 30.4%
12/15 65 Rutgers Home 77.7%
12/19 310 Sacred Heart Home 98.8%
12/22 37 Maryland Away 42.2%
12/29 72 St John’s Home 81.6%
1/2 50 Xavier Away 57.5%
1/6 98 DePaul Away 61.1%
1/9 28 Butler Home 62.1%
1/12 31 Marquette Away 42.7%
1/15 71 Providence Away 55.9%
1/19 98 DePaul Home 85.9%
1/27 2 Villanova Away 11.9%
1/30 71 Providence Home 81.6%
2/2 28 Butler Away 39.2%
2/9 53 Creighton Home 77.2%
2/13 124 Georgetown Home 91.7%
2/17 53 Creighton Away 51.5%
2/20 50 Xavier Home 83.5%
2/23 72 St John’s Away 55.9%
3/2 124 Georgetown Away 69.1%
3/6 31 Marquette Home 65.6%
3/9 2 Villanova Home 35.9%