Seton Hall Pirates Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Seton Hall Pirates. All of these projections for Seton Hall are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

Seton Hall Record and Rankings

Record: 18-9
Projected Final Record: 20.0-11.0

Big East Conference Record: 7-7
Projected Final Big East Record: 9.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big East: 6

Seton Hall Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 36
RPI Rank: 24
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 9 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 3-6 3-2 6-1 6-0
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.600 0.857 1.000

Our current projections give the Seton Hall Pirates a 88.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 11.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Seton Hall’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 4.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 8.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 17.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 19.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 19.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 11.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 5.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 7.2%
NIT #2 Seed 1.8%
NIT #3 Seed 1.6%
NIT #4 Seed 0.4%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Seton Hall Pirates. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Seton Hall Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 278 F Dickinson Home W 90-68
11/12 220 Monmouth NJ Home W 75-65
11/15 76 Indiana Home W 84-68
11/18 261 NJIT Home W 82-53
11/23 19 Rhode Island Brooklyn, NY L 74-75
11/24 84 Vanderbilt Brooklyn, NY W 72-59
11/30 9 Texas Tech New York, NY W 89-79
12/3 41 Louisville Away W 79-77
12/9 128 VA Commonwealth Home W 90-67
12/12 267 St Peter’s Home W 84-61
12/16 147 Rutgers Away L 65-71
12/20 151 Wagner Home W 89-68
12/23 227 Manhattan Home W 74-62
12/28 24 Creighton Home W 90-84
12/31 64 St John’s Home W 75-70
1/6 29 Butler Away W 90-87
1/9 47 Marquette Away L 64-84
1/13 77 Georgetown Home W 74-61
1/17 24 Creighton Away L 63-80
1/20 5 Xavier Home L 64-73
1/28 102 DePaul Away W 86-70
1/31 55 Providence Home W 73-57
2/4 2 Villanova Away L 76-92
2/7 47 Marquette Home L 85-88
2/10 77 Georgetown Away L 80-83
2/14 5 Xavier Away L 90-102
2/18 102 DePaul Home W 82-77
2/21 55 Providence Away 53.7%
2/24 64 St John’s Away 52.9%
2/28 2 Villanova Home 36.6%
3/3 29 Butler Home 58.8%