Siena Saints Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Siena Saints. All of these projections for Siena are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Siena Record and Rankings

Record: 6-11
Projected Final Record: 13.3-17.7

MAAC Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final MAAC Record: 8.3-9.7
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 7

Siena Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 270
RPI Rank: 267
NET Rank: 279
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-1 1-5 5-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.167 0.556

Our current projections give the Siena Saints a 8.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 91.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Siena’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 8.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Siena Saints. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Siena Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 77 Providence Away L 67-77
11/8 252 G Washington Away W 69-61
11/16 258 Norfolk St Neutal W 61-58
11/18 176 Holy Cross Neutral L 45-57
11/21 144 Lehigh Home L 69-80
11/24 178 Colgate Home L 79-84
11/28 70 Hofstra Away L 86-94
12/1 156 Harvard Home W 67-64
12/5 199 St Bonaventure Away L 40-82
12/8 283 Robert Morris Away W 74-71
12/18 101 Col Charleston Home L 58-83
12/22 176 Holy Cross Away L 57-60
12/29 333 Cal Poly Home W 75-54
1/3 299 St Peter’s Away L 60-65
1/5 266 Canisius Home L 66-70
1/11 286 Marist Away W 71-66
1/14 281 Monmouth NJ Home L 60-63
1/17 290 Niagara Home 67.2%
1/24 267 Fairfield Away 37.6%
1/26 339 Manhattan Home 84.7%
1/31 281 Monmouth NJ Away 42.2%
2/2 238 Iona Away 32.1%
2/4 267 Fairfield Home 59.8%
2/8 339 Manhattan Away 59.5%
2/10 170 Rider Away 16.7%
2/13 238 Iona Home 56.1%
2/17 224 Quinnipiac Home 55.5%
2/19 299 St Peter’s Home 68.3%
2/24 286 Marist Home 63.8%
3/1 266 Canisius Away 38.5%
3/3 290 Niagara Away 43.3%