South Alabama Jaguars Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the South Alabama Jaguars. All of these projections for South Alabama are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

South Alabama Record and Rankings

Record: 17-17
Projected Final Record: 17.0-17.0

Sun Belt Conference Record: 8-10
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 8.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 8

South Alabama Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 207
RPI Rank: 256
NET Rank: 237
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-4 3-7 12-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.300 0.750

Our current projections give the South Alabama Jaguars a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account South Alabama’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the South Alabama Jaguars. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

South Alabama Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 16 Auburn Away L 58-101
11/11 No Rank Huntingdon Home W 106-76
11/16 252 Chattanooga Home W 73-54
11/17 291 Jacksonville Home L 48-71
11/19 312 SE Missouri St Home W 79-58
11/23 78 Texas A&M Away L 62-74
11/28 114 Southern Miss Away L 67-71
12/1 326 Florida A&M Home W 66-57
12/5 220 New Orleans Away L 60-71
12/8 313 Tulane Home W 81-60
12/19 348 Alabama A&M Home W 79-67
12/20 No Rank Mobile Home W 86-47
12/29 208 Richmond Home L 82-91
1/3 228 Appalachian St Home W 79-73
1/5 183 Coastal Car Home W 84-77
1/10 244 Arkansas St Away L 65-66
1/12 270 Ark Little Rock Away L 62-91
1/17 93 Georgia St Home L 66-69
1/19 118 Ga Southern Home L 86-88
1/24 170 Louisiana Away L 84-88
1/26 165 ULM Away W 78-72
2/2 243 Troy Home W 81-75
2/7 244 Arkansas St Home W 70-62
2/9 270 Ark Little Rock Home L 68-73
2/13 118 Ga Southern Away L 65-75
2/15 93 Georgia St Away L 81-90
2/23 243 Troy Away W 68-52
2/28 147 UT Arlington Home L 57-75
3/2 128 Texas St Home W 77-63
3/7 183 Coastal Car Away L 70-92
3/9 228 Appalachian St Away W 78-71
3/12 244 Arkansas St Home W 75-67
3/14 170 Louisiana Neutal W 70-69
3/15 128 Texas St Neutral L 67-79