South Carolina Gamecocks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the South Carolina Gamecocks. All of these projections for South Carolina are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

South Carolina Record and Rankings

Record: 16-16
Projected Final Record: 16.0-16.0

SEC Conference Record: 11-7
Projected Final SEC Record: 11.0-7.0
Projected Final Rank in the SEC: 4

South Carolina Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 65
RPI Rank: 99
NET Rank: 81
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 3-9 2-5 5-1 5-1
Win % by Tier 0.250 0.286 0.833 0.833

Our current projections give the South Carolina Gamecocks a 3.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 89.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 7.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account South Carolina’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 6.8%
NIT #2 Seed 9.6%
NIT #3 Seed 7.4%
NIT #4 Seed 22.8%
NIT #5 Seed 27.8%
NIT #6 Seed 13.4%
NIT #7 Seed 1.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the South Carolina Gamecocks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

South Carolina Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 344 SC Upstate Home W 65-52
11/9 157 Stony Brook Home L 81-83
11/13 258 Norfolk St Home W 81-64
11/17 66 Providence Neutral L 67-76
11/18 276 G Washington Neutal W 90-55
11/26 14 Wofford Home L 61-81
11/30 183 Coastal Car Home W 85-79
12/5 315 Wyoming Away L 64-73
12/8 8 Michigan Away L 78-89
12/19 1 Virginia Home L 52-69
12/22 31 Clemson Home L 68-78
12/31 No Rank North Greenville Home W 97-46
1/5 29 Florida Away W 71-69
1/8 21 Mississippi St Home W 87-82
1/13 73 Missouri Home W 85-75
1/16 161 Vanderbilt Away W 74-71
1/19 13 LSU Away L 67-89
1/22 16 Auburn Home W 80-77
1/26 76 Oklahoma St Away L 70-74
1/29 3 Tennessee Home L 70-92
2/2 124 Georgia Away W 86-80
2/5 5 Kentucky Away L 48-76
2/9 63 Arkansas Home W 77-65
2/13 3 Tennessee Away L 73-85
2/16 78 Texas A&M Home W 84-77
2/19 38 Mississippi Home W 79-64
2/23 21 Mississippi St Away L 61-76
2/26 54 Alabama Home L 62-68
3/2 73 Missouri Away L 63-78
3/5 78 Texas A&M Away W 71-54
3/9 124 Georgia Home W 66-46
3/15 16 Auburn Neutral L 64-73