South Dakota Coyotes Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the South Dakota Coyotes. All of these projections for South Dakota are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

South Dakota Record and Rankings

Record: 24-6
Projected Final Record: 24.5-6.5

Summit Conference Record: 11-2
Projected Final Summit Record: 11.5-2.5
Projected Final Rank in the Summit: 2

South Dakota Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 78
RPI Rank: 88
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 1-0 5-2 14-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.714 0.933

Our current projections give the South Dakota Coyotes a 40.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 24.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 35.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account South Dakota’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 37.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.2%
NIT #4 Seed 1.0%
NIT #5 Seed 12.8%
NIT #6 Seed 9.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.8%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the South Dakota Coyotes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

South Dakota Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/11 No Rank Mayville St Home W 87-59
11/13 189 Bowling Green Away W 88-79
11/15 21 TCU Away L 71-76
11/18 271 Grambling Home W 84-55
11/20 No Rank Mt Marty Home W 93-54
11/24 224 Southern Miss Sioux Falls, SD W 84-71
11/25 123 N Colorado Sioux Falls, SD L 62-63
11/26 320 Youngstown St Sioux Falls, SD W 81-53
11/30 270 Missouri KC Away W 82-63
12/2 6 Duke Away L 80-96
12/6 137 Drake Home W 93-65
12/10 162 E Washington Home W 75-73
12/14 329 Northern Arizona Away W 90-77
12/17 321 San Jose St Away W 76-62
12/19 43 UCLA Away L 82-85
12/21 No Rank Northland Home W 88-42
12/30 202 Denver Home W 82-71
1/3 273 W Illinois Home W 62-50
1/6 187 N Dakota St Home L 79-84
1/11 161 IPFW Away W 68-58
1/17 229 Oral Roberts Home W 82-70
1/20 255 NE Omaha Away W 85-71
1/24 74 S Dakota St Home W 87-68
1/27 202 Denver Away L 68-84
2/1 273 W Illinois Away W 80-54
2/3 187 N Dakota St Away W 76-72
2/8 161 IPFW Home W 86-69
2/11 No Rank Peru St Home W 98-55
2/14 229 Oral Roberts Away W 85-67
2/17 255 NE Omaha Home W 79-64
2/22 74 S Dakota St Away 46.7%