South Dakota Coyotes Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the South Dakota Coyotes. All of these projections for South Dakota are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

South Dakota Record and Rankings

Record: 8-10
Projected Final Record: 14.3-14.7

Summit Conference Record: 2-3
Projected Final Summit Record: 8.3-7.7
Projected Final Rank in the Summit: 5

South Dakota Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 224
RPI Rank: 243
NET Rank: 205
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-2 1-1 5-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.500 0.455

Our current projections give the South Dakota Coyotes a 12.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 2.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 85.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account South Dakota’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 11.6%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 2.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the South Dakota Coyotes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

South Dakota Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 No Rank York NE Home W 83-58
11/12 296 Northern Arizona Home W 90-74
11/16 204 High Point Neutral L 56-60
11/18 231 Air Force Neutral L 62-65
11/19 264 UMBC Neutal W 58-52
11/27 55 Baylor Away L 57-63
12/1 152 CS Bakersfield Home W 68-56
12/4 113 Colorado Away L 58-82
12/8 244 Missouri KC Home L 63-65
12/12 No Rank Bellevue Home W 78-52
12/16 215 Colorado St Away W 68-63
12/18 7 Kansas Away L 53-89
12/21 157 Southern Miss Home L 60-66
12/28 251 N Dakota St Away L 65-71
1/2 307 Denver Away W 71-70
1/6 141 S Dakota St Home L 61-79
1/13 207 PFW Home W 87-73
1/17 271 Oral Roberts Away L 74-77
1/20 187 NE Omaha Away 32.8%
1/23 300 North Dakota Away 57.5%
1/26 309 W Illinois Home 79.7%
1/30 207 PFW Away 40.9%
2/7 187 NE Omaha Home 50.7%
2/10 271 Oral Roberts Home 70.6%
2/16 309 W Illinois Away 58.5%
2/20 307 Denver Home 79.2%
2/23 141 S Dakota St Away 18.2%
2/28 251 N Dakota St Home 63.8%
3/2 300 North Dakota Home 75.3%