South Dakota State Jackrabbits Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the South Dakota State Jackrabbits. All of these projections for S Dakota St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

S Dakota St Record and Rankings

Record: 15-6
Projected Final Record: 22.6-8.4

Summit Conference Record: 5-1
Projected Final Summit Record: 12.6-3.4
Projected Final Rank in the Summit: 1

S Dakota St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 137
RPI Rank: 179
NET Rank: 115
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 15 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-1 4-2 10-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.667 0.833

Our current projections give the South Dakota State Jackrabbits a 50.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 34.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 14.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account S Dakota St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 3.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 14.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 25.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 6.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 0.4%
NIT #4 Seed 0.4%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 7.0%
NIT #7 Seed 22.4%
NIT #8 Seed 3.6%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the South Dakota State Jackrabbits. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

S Dakota St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 105 Grand Canyon Home W 79-74
11/8 315 Alabama St Home W 78-61
11/10 No Rank Bemidji St Home W 86-63
11/16 285 FL Gulf Coast Away L 78-84
11/19 305 Tulane Neutral L 80-84
11/20 160 UT San Antonio Neutal W 99-79
11/21 212 Colorado St Neutal W 78-65
11/28 243 Missouri KC Home W 75-47
12/1 191 Northern Iowa Neutal W 82-50
12/4 89 Memphis Away L 80-88
12/7 350 Southern Univ Home W 101-92
12/11 341 Savannah St Home W 139-72
12/15 20 Nevada Away L 68-72
12/18 297 E Washington Away W 74-64
12/22 142 Montana Home L 74-85
12/28 319 W Illinois Away W 100-58
1/3 188 PFW Away L 88-104
1/6 213 South Dakota Away W 79-61
1/10 301 Denver Home W 78-66
1/12 276 Oral Roberts Home W 84-65
1/16 296 North Dakota Away W 78-74
1/24 249 N Dakota St Home 83.8%
1/26 194 NE Omaha Home 77.7%
1/31 276 Oral Roberts Away 69.9%
2/3 301 Denver Away 73.4%
2/9 296 North Dakota Home 87.3%
2/14 194 NE Omaha Away 57.5%
2/16 249 N Dakota St Away 64.5%
2/21 188 PFW Home 73.8%
2/23 213 South Dakota Home 79.2%
3/2 319 W Illinois Home 89.4%