Southeastern Louisiana Lions Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Southeastern Louisiana Lions. All of these projections for SE Louisiana are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

SE Louisiana Record and Rankings

Record: 5-12
Projected Final Record: 10.4-20.6

Southland Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final Southland Record: 6.4-11.6
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 11

SE Louisiana Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 320
RPI Rank: 321
NET Rank: 325
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-0 0-2 3-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.333

Our current projections give the Southeastern Louisiana Lions a 0.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account SE Louisiana’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Southeastern Louisiana Lions. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

SE Louisiana Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 21 LSU Away L 63-94
11/9 No Rank Wm Carey Home W 78-57
11/11 14 Nebraska Away L 35-87
11/13 8 Texas Tech Away L 40-59
11/17 347 Stetson Home W 69-57
11/20 346 MS Valley St Away L 59-69
11/26 No Rank Louisiana Col Home W 86-71
12/1 305 Tulane Away W 62-61
12/12 28 Mississippi Neutral L 47-69
12/17 247 Cal Baptist Home L 52-73
12/19 311 Grambling Away L 68-69
12/22 219 Bradley Away L 60-63
12/29 155 Louisiana Home L 72-73
1/2 257 SF Austin Away L 60-65
1/5 245 Cent Arkansas Home L 71-73
1/12 140 Abilene Chr Home L 72-75
1/16 277 Lamar Home W 76-69
1/19 298 McNeese St Away 34.4%
1/23 242 Houston Bap Away 20.1%
1/26 330 Northwestern LA Away 48.5%
1/30 184 Sam Houston St Home 34.7%
2/2 284 Nicholls St Home 52.6%
2/6 280 TAM C. Christi Away 29.4%
2/9 245 Cent Arkansas Away 22.3%
2/13 337 Incarnate Word Home 69.9%
2/16 298 McNeese St Home 54.8%
2/20 208 New Orleans Away 17.9%
2/23 140 Abilene Chr Away 11.1%
3/2 330 Northwestern LA Home 65.6%
3/6 208 New Orleans Home 39.9%
3/9 284 Nicholls St Away 35.1%