Southeastern Louisiana Lions Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Southeastern Louisiana Lions. All of these projections for SE Louisiana are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

SE Louisiana Record and Rankings

Record: 22-12
Projected Final Record: 22.0-12.0

Southland Conference Record: 16-4
Projected Final Southland Record: 16.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 1

SE Louisiana Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 182
RPI Rank: 150
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-1 7-5 12-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.583 0.800

Our current projections give the Southeastern Louisiana Lions a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account SE Louisiana’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 2.8%
NIT #8 Seed 97.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Southeastern Louisiana Lions. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

SE Louisiana Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 No Rank Centenary Home W 99-67
11/13 167 Tulane Away L 66-89
11/16 220 ULM Away L 75-86
11/19 164 Valparaiso Away L 50-83
11/21 191 Kent Away W 70-66
11/24 291 Samford Away W 77-71
11/25 348 MS Valley St Homewood, AL W 73-59
11/28 No Rank Loyola NO Home W 80-53
12/12 85 UCF Away L 53-61
12/14 No Rank Southern N.O. Home W 106-77
12/16 301 Grambling Home L 67-68
12/19 83 ULL Away L 74-82
12/21 52 Notre Dame Away L 50-86
12/28 107 SF Austin Home W 73-62
12/31 216 Cent Arkansas Away W 73-69
1/6 262 Abilene Chr Away W 72-70
1/10 221 Lamar Away W 63-58
1/13 305 McNeese St Home L 62-71
1/17 344 Houston Bap Home W 85-69
1/20 345 Northwestern LA Home W 85-58
1/24 219 Sam Houston St Away L 65-75
1/27 183 Nicholls St Away W 67-63
1/31 317 TAM C. Christi Home L 54-67
2/3 216 Cent Arkansas Home W 89-84
2/7 346 Incarnate Word Away W 86-68
2/10 305 McNeese St Away W 74-67
2/14 265 New Orleans Home W 71-64
2/17 262 Abilene Chr Home W 68-54
2/24 345 Northwestern LA Away W 86-62
2/28 265 New Orleans Away W 68-64
3/3 183 Nicholls St Home W 69-57
3/9 219 Sam Houston St Katy, TX W 89-79
3/10 107 SF Austin Katy, TX L 55-59
3/13 43 St Mary’s CA Away L 45-89