Southeastern Louisiana Lions Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Southeastern Louisiana Lions. All of these projections for SE Louisiana are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

SE Louisiana Record and Rankings

Record: 17-16
Projected Final Record: 17.0-16.0

Southland Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final Southland Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 3

SE Louisiana Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 223
RPI Rank: 222
NET Rank: 249
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 1-2 0-6 14-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.333 0.000 0.700

Our current projections give the Southeastern Louisiana Lions a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account SE Louisiana’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Southeastern Louisiana Lions. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

SE Louisiana Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 13 LSU Away L 63-94
11/9 No Rank Wm Carey Home W 78-57
11/11 49 Nebraska Away L 35-87
11/13 11 Texas Tech Away L 40-59
11/17 333 Stetson Home W 69-57
11/20 350 MS Valley St Away L 59-69
11/26 No Rank Louisiana Col Home W 86-71
12/1 313 Tulane Away W 62-61
12/12 38 Mississippi Neutral L 47-69
12/17 204 Cal Baptist Home L 52-73
12/19 297 Grambling Away L 68-69
12/22 153 Bradley Away L 60-63
12/29 170 Louisiana Home L 72-73
1/2 298 SF Austin Away L 60-65
1/5 287 Cent Arkansas Home L 71-73
1/12 140 Abilene Chr Home L 72-75
1/16 212 Lamar Home W 76-69
1/19 331 McNeese St Away W 74-71
1/23 286 Houston Bap Away W 70-67
1/26 332 Northwestern LA Away W 69-53
1/30 158 Sam Houston St Home L 52-62
2/2 309 Nicholls St Home W 91-70
2/6 280 TAM C. Christi Away W 64-58
2/9 287 Cent Arkansas Away W 75-67
2/13 347 Incarnate Word Home W 70-64
2/16 331 McNeese St Home W 88-52
2/20 220 New Orleans Away L 68-89
2/23 140 Abilene Chr Away W 75-66
3/2 332 Northwestern LA Home W 69-55
3/6 220 New Orleans Home W 81-67
3/9 309 Nicholls St Away L 63-69
3/14 287 Cent Arkansas Neutal W 79-65
3/15 140 Abilene Chr Neutral L 66-69