These are the latest Southern Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Southern are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
Southern Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
Projected Southern Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Southern Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|Furman||Last 4 Out||4.078|
|UNC Greensboro||Next 4 Out||3.582|
Projected Southern Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Southern Conference standings.
Southern Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Southern Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Southern Conference Men’s Basketball Tournament is played in the first week of March and features ten teams on a neutral court.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: U.S. Cellular Center (Asheville, NC)
First Round: March 8th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 9th, 2019
Semifinals: March 10th, 2019
Finals: March 11th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
Southern Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||Samford||54.4%||Mercer||45.6%||Samford wins by 2|
|2/21||Chattanooga||35.9%||Citadel||64.1%||Citadel wins by 5|
|2/21||W Carolina||7.4%||UNC Greensboro||92.6%||UNC Greensboro wins by 15|
|2/21||ETSU||89.2%||VMI||10.8%||ETSU wins by 13|
|2/23||Samford||60.1%||Citadel||39.9%||Samford wins by 4|
|2/23||Wofford||56.5%||Furman||43.5%||Wofford wins by 2|
|2/23||Chattanooga||24.3%||Mercer||75.7%||Mercer wins by 8|
|2/23||VMI||27.2%||W Carolina||72.8%||W Carolina wins by 7|
|2/24||ETSU||39.5%||UNC Greensboro||60.5%||UNC Greensboro wins by 4|
|2/28||Furman||63.4%||Samford||36.6%||Furman wins by 5|
|2/28||UNC Greensboro||79.2%||Citadel||20.8%||UNC Greensboro wins by 8|
|2/28||Wofford||92%||Chattanooga||8%||Wofford wins by 14|
|2/28||Mercer||64.1%||VMI||35.9%||Mercer wins by 5|
|3/2||Wofford||75.7%||Samford||24.3%||Wofford wins by 8|
|3/2||UNC Greensboro||69.1%||Mercer||30.9%||UNC Greensboro wins by 6|
|3/2||Furman||82.8%||Chattanooga||17.2%||Furman wins by 10|
|3/2||Citadel||58.5%||VMI||41.5%||Citadel wins by 3|
|3/2||W Carolina||7.8%||ETSU||92.2%||ETSU wins by 15|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|