Southern Illinois Salukis Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Southern Illinois Salukis. All of these projections for S Illinois are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

S Illinois Record and Rankings

Record: 17-15
Projected Final Record: 17.0-15.0

MVC Conference Record: 10-8
Projected Final MVC Record: 10.0-8.0
Projected Final Rank in the MVC: 3

S Illinois Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 148
RPI Rank: 132
NET Rank: 143
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-3 8-5 9-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.615 0.750

Our current projections give the Southern Illinois Salukis a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account S Illinois’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Southern Illinois Salukis. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

S Illinois Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 5 Kentucky Away L 59-71
11/12 18 Buffalo Home L 53-62
11/17 319 Ark Pine Bluff Home W 78-48
11/19 301 Howard Home W 83-69
11/22 239 Massachusetts Neutral L 62-84
11/23 107 Tulsa Neutal W 79-69
11/27 213 Colorado St Away W 82-67
12/1 323 SIUE Away W 82-61
12/5 98 St Louis Home W 61-56
12/8 312 SE Missouri St Away W 83-73
12/12 50 Murray St Home L 52-80
12/15 18 Buffalo Away L 65-73
12/22 184 Winthrop Home L 71-79
1/2 175 Missouri St Home W 75-70
1/5 169 Northern Iowa Away W 58-51
1/8 111 Drake Away L 70-82
1/12 209 Valparaiso Home L 61-65
1/15 179 Illinois St Away L 58-59
1/20 153 Bradley Home L 54-57
1/23 169 Northern Iowa Home W 70-62
1/27 130 Loyola-Chicago Away L 50-75
1/30 189 Indiana St Home W 88-73
2/2 153 Bradley Away W 72-68
2/6 175 Missouri St Away L 59-65
2/9 236 Evansville Home W 78-73
2/12 111 Drake Home L 69-72
2/16 189 Indiana St Away W 79-57
2/20 209 Valparaiso Away L 52-55
2/24 130 Loyola-Chicago Home W 63-53
2/27 236 Evansville Away W 98-91
3/2 179 Illinois St Home W 72-63
3/8 169 Northern Iowa Neutral L 58-61