Southern Miss Golden Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. All of these projections for Southern Miss are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Southern Miss Record and Rankings

Record: 19-12
Projected Final Record: 19.0-12.0

CUSA Conference Record: 11-7
Projected Final CUSA Record: 11.0-7.0
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 3

Southern Miss Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 114
RPI Rank: 92
NET Rank: 92
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-3 1-3 8-5 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.250 0.250 0.615 1.000

Our current projections give the Southern Miss Golden Eagles a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 1.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 98.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Southern Miss’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.6%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Southern Miss Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/11 110 SMU Away W 74-64
11/15 243 Troy Away W 81-66
11/20 180 North Florida Neutral L 48-64
11/21 289 W Carolina Neutal W 68-63
11/25 No Rank Wm Carey Home L 72-78
11/28 207 South Alabama Home W 71-67
12/2 No Rank Rust Home W 106-46
12/11 No Rank Millsaps Home W 81-47
12/15 74 Wichita St Away L 60-63
12/19 20 Kansas St Away L 51-55
12/21 249 South Dakota Away W 66-60
12/29 137 Louisiana Tech Away L 56-71
1/3 237 Rice Away L 65-73
1/5 164 North Texas Away L 62-65
1/10 235 MTSU Home W 77-70
1/12 139 UAB Home W 73-68
1/17 268 Charlotte Away W 63-60
1/19 87 Old Dominion Away L 62-76
1/24 105 WKU Home L 63-66
1/26 142 Marshall Home W 101-51
1/31 173 Florida Intl Away W 89-73
2/2 177 FL Atlantic Away W 74-72
2/9 137 Louisiana Tech Home W 73-71
2/14 144 UT San Antonio Home W 78-71
2/16 302 UTEP Home W 77-47
2/23 139 UAB Home L 72-76
3/3 105 WKU Away L 71-76
3/6 87 Old Dominion Away W 59-52
3/9 144 UT San Antonio Home W 81-48
3/14 142 Marshall Neutal W 82-73
3/15 105 WKU Neutral L 59-70