Southern Miss Golden Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. All of these projections for Southern Miss are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Southern Miss Record and Rankings

Record: 9-7
Projected Final Record: 13.8-11.2

CUSA Conference Record: 2-3
Projected Final CUSA Record: 6.8-7.2
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 8

Southern Miss Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 159
RPI Rank: 121
NET Rank: 134
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-1 3-2 4-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.600 1.000

Our current projections give the Southern Miss Golden Eagles a 4.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 1.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 93.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Southern Miss’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.2%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Southern Miss Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/11 104 SMU Away W 74-64
11/15 183 Troy Away W 81-66
11/20 179 North Florida Neutral L 48-64
11/21 262 W Carolina Neutal W 68-63
11/25 No Rank Wm Carey Home L 72-78
11/28 265 South Alabama Home W 71-67
12/2 No Rank Rust Home W 106-46
12/11 No Rank Millsaps Home W 81-47
12/15 97 Wichita St Away L 60-63
12/19 32 Kansas St Away L 51-55
12/21 213 South Dakota Away W 66-60
12/29 114 Louisiana Tech Away L 56-71
1/3 251 Rice Away L 65-73
1/5 79 North Texas Away L 62-65
1/10 323 MTSU Home W 77-70
1/12 173 UAB Home W 73-68
1/17 260 Charlotte Away 60.8%
1/19 95 Old Dominion Away 20.1%
1/24 121 WKU Home 49.6%
1/26 110 Marshall Home 51.5%
1/31 202 Florida Intl Away 51.8%
2/2 189 FL Atlantic Away 49.3%
2/9 114 Louisiana Tech Home 51.5%
2/14 160 UT San Antonio Home 63.1%
2/16 269 UTEP Home 85%