Southern University Jaguars Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Southern University Jaguars. All of these projections for Southern Univ are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Southern Univ Record and Rankings

Record: 2-16
Projected Final Record: 7.5-23.5

Southwestern Conference Record: 1-4
Projected Final Southwestern Record: 6.5-11.5
Projected Final Rank in the Southwestern: 7

Southern Univ Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 343
RPI Rank: 346
NET Rank: 350
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-1 0-3 1-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.111

Our current projections give the Southern University Jaguars a 1.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Southern Univ’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Southern University Jaguars. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Southern Univ Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 49 Alabama Away L 62-82
11/10 55 Baylor Away L 53-80
11/13 21 Louisville Away L 54-104
11/17 137 George Mason Away L 65-69
11/23 252 W Michigan Neutral L 70-85
11/24 329 NC Central Neutral L 71-83
11/27 No Rank Wiley Home W 74-65
12/1 167 Louisiana Away L 78-88
12/7 141 S Dakota St Away L 92-101
12/9 17 Iowa St Away L 65-101
12/15 328 Northwestern LA Neutral L 66-69
12/19 239 Cal Baptist Home L 76-79
12/28 18 Marquette Away L 41-84
1/5 270 Prairie View Home L 73-82
1/7 198 TX Southern Home L 67-77
1/12 285 Grambling Away L 63-69
1/14 323 Jackson St Away L 58-64
1/19 304 Ark Pine Bluff Home W 69-67
1/21 349 MS Valley St Home 68%
1/26 346 Alabama A&M Away 47.1%
1/28 308 Alabama St Away 20.6%
2/2 352 Alcorn St Away 59.2%
2/9 285 Grambling Home 34.7%
2/11 323 Jackson St Home 42.5%
2/16 304 Ark Pine Bluff Away 20.6%
2/18 349 MS Valley St Away 54%
2/23 346 Alabama A&M Home 60.8%
2/25 308 Alabama St Home 39.2%
3/2 352 Alcorn St Home 73.8%
3/7 270 Prairie View Away 17.7%
3/9 198 TX Southern Away 11.1%