Southern Utah Thunderbirds Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds. All of these projections for Southern Utah are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Southern Utah Record and Rankings

Record: 16-16
Projected Final Record: 16.0-16.0

Big Sky Conference Record: 9-11
Projected Final Big Sky Record: 9.0-11.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big Sky: 7

Southern Utah Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 266
RPI Rank: 231
NET Rank: 262
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-2 3-8 11-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.273 0.647

Our current projections give the Southern Utah Thunderbirds a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Southern Utah’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Southern Utah Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank W Coast Bap Home W 109-63
11/10 339 San Jose St Away W 66-59
11/18 188 Seattle Away W 73-70
11/23 156 UNLV Away L 71-76
11/29 No Rank San Diego Chr Home W 111-64
12/5 210 Long Beach St Away L 71-82
12/8 117 C Michigan Away L 86-95
12/15 167 Pepperdine Home W 78-69
12/21 120 USC Away L 49-91
12/29 250 Montana St Home L 62-92
12/31 136 Montana Home L 76-89
1/3 318 Idaho St Away L 68-88
1/5 217 Weber St Away W 90-82
1/12 304 Northern Arizona Home W 84-82
1/17 264 Portland St Home W 83-69
1/19 278 CS Sacramento Home W 76-71
1/24 194 N Colorado Away L 68-79
1/28 304 Northern Arizona Away L 77-80
2/2 233 E Washington Away L 79-82
2/4 345 Idaho Away W 75-64
2/7 217 Weber St Home W 65-53
2/9 318 Idaho St Home W 78-72
2/14 278 CS Sacramento Away L 73-84
2/16 264 Portland St Away L 69-78
2/21 233 E Washington Home W 76-62
2/23 345 Idaho Home W 85-76
3/2 136 Montana Away L 54-70
3/4 250 Montana St Away L 83-90
3/7 194 N Colorado Home L 53-70
3/13 318 Idaho St Neutal W 94-80
3/14 194 N Colorado Neutal W 83-64
3/15 233 E Washington Neutral L 61-77