Southland Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Southland Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Southland are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Southland Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 SE Louisiana 22 11 22 11 16 4 16 4
2 Nicholls St 21 11 21 11 15 4 15 4
3 SF Austin 28 6 28 6 17 4 17 4
4 Sam Houston St 19 14 19 14 13 7 13 7
5 New Orleans 15 16 15 16 12 8 12 8
6 Lamar 19 13 19 13 11 8 11 8
7 Cent Arkansas 17 16 17 16 11 9 11 9
8 Abilene Chr 17 14 17 14 9 9 9 9
9 McNeese St 11 17 11 17 8 10 8 10
10 TAM C. Christi 10 19 10 19 7 12 7 12
11 Houston Bap 6 25 6 25 2 16 2 16
12 Incarnate Word 7 21 7 21 2 16 2 16
13 Northwestern LA 4 25 4 25 1 17 1 17

Projected Southland Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Southland Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
SF Austin 15 0.515

Southland Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Southland Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Southland team. The Southland Conference has thirteen teams, but only the top eight make the tournament. The top two seeds get a bye into the Semifinals and the three and four seed get a bye into the Quarterfinals.

Regular Season Champion: SE Louisiana
Tournament Site: Leonard E Merrell Center (Katy, TX)
1st Round: March 7th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
SE Louisiana
100%
100%
0%
2
Nicholls St
100%
0%
0%
3
SF Austin
100%
100%
100%
4
Sam Houston St
100%
0%
0%
5
New Orleans
0%
0%
0%
6
Lamar
0%
0%
0%
7
Cent Arkansas
0%
0%
0%
8
Abilene Chr
0%
0%
0%

Southland Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC