Southland Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Southland Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Southland are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Southland Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Sam Houston St 21 11 21 11 16 2 16 2
2 Abilene Chr 27 6 27 6 14 4 14 4
3 SE Louisiana 17 16 17 16 12 6 12 6
4 New Orleans 19 13 19 13 12 6 12 6
5 Lamar 20 13 20 13 12 6 12 6
6 TAM C. Christi 14 18 14 18 9 9 9 9
7 Cent Arkansas 14 19 14 19 8 10 8 10
8 Houston Bap 12 18 12 18 8 10 8 10
9 Nicholls St 13 17 13 17 7 11 7 11
10 SF Austin 14 16 14 16 7 11 7 11
11 Northwestern LA 11 20 11 20 6 12 6 12
12 McNeese St 8 22 8 22 5 13 5 13
13 Incarnate Word 6 25 6 25 1 17 1 17

Projected Southland Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Southland Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Abilene Chr 16 -0.547

Projected Southland Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Southland Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Sam Houston St 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Abilene Chr 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
SE Louisiana 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
New Orleans 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Lamar 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
TAM C. Christi 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Cent Arkansas 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Houston Bap 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Nicholls St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
SF Austin 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern LA 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incarnate Word 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southland Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Southland Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Southland Conference has thirteen teams, but only the top eight make the tournament. The top two seeds get a bye into the Semifinals and the three and four seed get a bye into the Quarterfinals.

Regular Season Champ: Sam Houston St
Tournament Site: Leonard E Merrell Center (Katy, TX)
1st Round: March 13th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Sam Houston St
100%
100%
0%
0%
2
Abilene Chr
100%
100%
100%
100%
3
SE Louisiana
100%
100%
0%
0%
4
New Orleans
100%
100%
100%
0%
5
Lamar
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
TAM C. Christi
0%
0%
0%
0%
7
Cent Arkansas
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
Houston Bap
0%
0%
0%
0%
9
Nicholls St
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
SF Austin
0%
0%
0%
0%
11
Northwestern LA
0%
0%
0%
0%
12
McNeese St
0%
0%
0%
0%
13
Incarnate Word
0%
0%
0%
0%

Southland Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC