These are the latest Southland Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Southland are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
Southland Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|1||Sam Houston St||18||9||21||10||13||1||16||2|
|6||TAM C. Christi||11||15||13.8||17.2||6||7||8.8||9.2|
Projected Southland Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Southland Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
Projected Southland Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Southland Conference standings.
|Sam Houston St||91%||9%||0%||0%||100%|
|TAM C. Christi||0%||0%||0%||4%||88%|
Southland Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Southland Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Southland Conference has thirteen teams, but only the top eight make the tournament. The top two seeds get a bye into the Semifinals and the three and four seed get a bye into the Quarterfinals.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Leonard E Merrell Center (Katy, TX)
1st Round: March 13th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To||Qtrs||Semis||Finals||To Win|
Southland Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/23||Lamar||44.5%||TAM C. Christi||55.5%||TAM C. Christi wins by 2|
|2/23||New Orleans||62.8%||McNeese St||37.2%||New Orleans wins by 5|
|2/23||Houston Bap||15.8%||Sam Houston St||84.2%||Sam Houston St wins by 11|
|2/23||Incarnate Word||15.8%||SF Austin||84.2%||SF Austin wins by 11|
|2/23||SE Louisiana||16.5%||Abilene Chr||83.5%||Abilene Chr wins by 10|
|2/23||Cent Arkansas||44.1%||Nicholls St||55.9%||Nicholls St wins by 2|
|2/27||Houston Bap||34%||Lamar||66%||Lamar wins by 5|
|2/27||Sam Houston St||58.8%||New Orleans||41.2%||Sam Houston St wins by 3|
|2/27||Abilene Chr||62.8%||TAM C. Christi||37.2%||Abilene Chr wins by 5|
|2/27||SF Austin||44.1%||Cent Arkansas||55.9%||Cent Arkansas wins by 2|
|2/27||McNeese St||39.2%||Nicholls St||60.8%||Nicholls St wins by 4|
|2/27||Incarnate Word||22.8%||Northwestern LA||77.2%||Northwestern LA wins by 8|
|3/2||McNeese St||20.8%||Houston Bap||79.2%||Houston Bap wins by 8|
|3/2||TAM C. Christi||68.3%||Incarnate Word||31.7%||TAM C. Christi wins by 6|
|3/2||Abilene Chr||71.2%||Cent Arkansas||28.8%||Abilene Chr wins by 7|
|3/2||SF Austin||26.7%||Lamar||73.3%||Lamar wins by 7|
|3/2||New Orleans||60.8%||Nicholls St||39.2%||New Orleans wins by 4|
|3/2||Northwestern LA||19.6%||SE Louisiana||80.4%||SE Louisiana wins by 9|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|