Southwestern Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Southwestern Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Southwestern are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Southwestern Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Prairie View 22 12 22 12 17 1 17 1
2 TX Southern 20 13 20 13 13 4 13 4
3 Jackson St 13 19 13 19 10 8 10 8
4 Grambling 17 16 17 16 10 8 10 8
5 Ark Pine Bluff 13 19 13 19 10 8 10 8
6 Alabama St 12 19 12 19 9 9 9 9
7 Southern Univ 7 25 7 25 6 12 6 12
8 Alcorn St 10 21 10 21 6 12 6 12
9 MS Valley St 6 26 6 26 4 14 4 14
10 Alabama A&M 5 26 5 26 4 13 4 13

Projected Southwestern Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Southwestern Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Prairie View 16 -1.861

Projected Southwestern Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Southwestern Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Prairie View 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
TX Southern 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Jackson St 0% 0% 0% 39% 100%
Grambling 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Ark Pine Bluff 0% 0% 0% 27% 100%
Alabama St 0% 0% 0% 34% 100%
Southern Univ 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Alcorn St 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
MS Valley St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama A&M 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southwestern Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Southwestern Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Though there are ten teams in the conference, only eight will play in the SWAC Conference Men’s Basketball Tournament. Alabama A&M is ineligible due to APR issues.

Regular Season Champion: Prairie View
Tournament Site: Campus Sites (1st Round), Bill Harris Arena (Birmingham, AL)
Quarterfinals: March 12th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
Prairie View
100%
100%
100%
2
TX Southern
100%
100%
0%
3
Jackson St
0%
0%
0%
4
Grambling
100%
0%
0%
5
Ark Pine Bluff
0%
0%
0%
6
Alabama St
100%
0%
0%
7
Southern Univ
0%
0%
0%
8
Alcorn St
0%
0%
0%
9
MS Valley St
0%
0%
0%
10
Alabama A&M
0%
0%
0%

Southwestern Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC