These are the latest Southwestern Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Southwestern are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
Southwestern Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|5||Ark Pine Bluff||11||15||13.2||17.8||8||5||10.2||7.8|
|10||MS Valley St||5||22||6.1||25.9||3||10||4.1||13.9|
Projected Southwestern Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Southwestern Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
Projected Southwestern Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Southwestern Conference standings.
|Ark Pine Bluff||0%||1%||25%||32%||100%|
|MS Valley St||0%||0%||0%||0%||11%|
Southwestern Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Southwestern Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Though there are ten teams in the conference, only eight will play in the SWAC Conference Men’s Basketball Tournament. Alabama A&M is ineligible due to APR issues.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Campus Sites (1st Round), Bill Harris Arena (Birmingham, AL)
Quarterfinals: March 12th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To||Semis||Finals||To Win|
Southwestern Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/23||Alabama St||65.3%||Alcorn St||34.7%||Alabama St wins by 5|
|2/23||Ark Pine Bluff||17.2%||TX Southern||82.8%||TX Southern wins by 10|
|2/23||Alabama A&M||47.4%||Southern Univ||52.6%||Southern Univ wins by 1|
|2/23||MS Valley St||7.8%||Prairie View||92.2%||Prairie View wins by 15|
|2/23||Grambling||58.5%||Jackson St||41.5%||Grambling wins by 3|
|2/25||Alabama A&M||50%||Alcorn St||50%||Alabama A&M wins by 1|
|2/25||Alabama St||64.1%||Southern Univ||35.9%||Alabama St wins by 5|
|2/25||Ark Pine Bluff||19.6%||Prairie View||80.4%||Prairie View wins by 9|
|2/25||MS Valley St||7%||TX Southern||93%||TX Southern wins by 16|
|3/2||TX Southern||66.4%||Alabama St||33.6%||TX Southern wins by 6|
|3/2||Grambling||50%||Ark Pine Bluff||50%||Grambling wins by 1|
|3/2||Alcorn St||42.2%||Southern Univ||57.8%||Southern Univ wins by 3|
|3/2||Prairie View||77.2%||Alabama A&M||22.8%||Prairie View wins by 8|
|3/2||Jackson St||61.8%||MS Valley St||38.2%||Jackson St wins by 4|
|3/4||TX Southern||81.4%||Alabama A&M||18.6%||TX Southern wins by 9|
|3/4||Prairie View||62.5%||Alabama St||37.6%||Prairie View wins by 4|
|3/4||Grambling||73.4%||MS Valley St||26.6%||Grambling wins by 7|
|3/4||Jackson St||33.2%||Ark Pine Bluff||66.8%||Ark Pine Bluff wins by 6|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|