Southwestern Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Southwestern Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Southwestern are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Southwestern Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Ark Pine Bluff 14 21 14 21 14 7 14 7
2 Prairie View 16 18 16 18 13 7 13 7
3 TX Southern 15 19 15 19 15 6 15 6
4 Southern Univ 15 18 15 18 11 9 11 9
5 Jackson St 12 20 12 20 9 10 9 10
6 Alabama St 8 23 8 23 8 11 8 11
7 Alcorn St 11 21 11 21 7 12 7 12
8 MS Valley St 4 28 4 28 4 15 4 15
9 Alabama A&M 3 28 3 28 3 15 3 15
10 Grambling 17 14 17 14 13 5 13 5

Projected Southwestern Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Southwestern Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
TX Southern 16 -5.74

Southwestern Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Southwestern Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Southwestern team. Though there are ten teams in the conference, only eight will play in the SWAC Conference Men’s Basketball Tournament. Grambling and Alabama A&M are ineligible for participation in 2018 due to APR issues.

Regular Season Champion: Ark Pine Bluff
Tournament Site: Campus Sites (1st Round), Delmar Center (Houston, TX)
Quarterfinals: March 6th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
Ark Pine Bluff
100%
100%
0%
2
Prairie View
100%
0%
0%
3
TX Southern
100%
100%
100%
4
Southern Univ
100%
0%
0%
5
Jackson St
0%
0%
0%
6
Alabama St
0%
0%
0%
7
Alcorn St
0%
0%
0%
8
MS Valley St
0%
0%
0%

Southwestern Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC