St. Bonaventure Bonnies Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. All of these projections for St Bonaventure are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/19/2018.

St Bonaventure Record and Rankings

Record: 20-6
Projected Final Record: 22.7-7.3

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 10-4
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 12.7-5.3
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 2

St Bonaventure Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 56
RPI Rank: 27
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Next 4 Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 4-2 3-2 4-2 9-0
Win % by Tier 0.667 0.600 0.667 1.000

Our current projections give the St. Bonaventure Bonnies a 22.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 63.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 13.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account St Bonaventure’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 6.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 14.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 8.0%
NIT #2 Seed 14.2%
NIT #3 Seed 17.6%
NIT #4 Seed 15.6%
NIT #5 Seed 7.8%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

St Bonaventure Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 175 Niagara Home L 75-77
11/18 333 Jackson St Home W 72-58
11/20 345 MD E Shore Home W 96-48
11/24 53 Maryland Niceville, FL W 63-61
11/25 21 TCU Niceville, FL L 79-89
11/29 291 Siena Away W 75-55
12/2 79 Buffalo Away W 73-62
12/6 130 Canisius Away W 73-65
12/9 213 Yale Home W 75-67
12/16 63 Vermont Rochester, NY W 81-79
12/20 104 Northeastern Home W 84-65
12/22 49 Syracuse Away W 60-57
12/30 197 Massachusetts Home W 98-78
1/3 143 Dayton Away L 72-82
1/6 145 St Joseph’s PA Away L 78-85
1/10 245 Fordham Home W 77-61
1/13 19 Rhode Island Away L 73-87
1/19 94 Davidson Away L 73-83
1/24 145 St Joseph’s PA Home W 70-67
1/28 181 G Washington Home W 70-52
1/31 200 George Mason Away W 85-69
2/3 198 Duquesne Away W 84-81
2/7 120 St Louis Home W 79-56
2/10 180 Richmond Home W 97-88
2/13 178 La Salle Away W 79-68
2/16 19 Rhode Island Home W 77-74
2/21 198 Duquesne Home 87.3%
2/24 128 VA Commonwealth Away 60.5%
2/27 94 Davidson Home 64.5%
3/3 120 St Louis Away 58.8%