St. Bonaventure Bonnies Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. All of these projections for St Bonaventure are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

St Bonaventure Record and Rankings

Record: 1-1
Projected Final Record: 18.7-10.3

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 12.5-5.5
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 3

St Bonaventure Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 90
RPI Rank: 280
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-1 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the St. Bonaventure Bonnies a 7.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 25.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 67.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account St Bonaventure’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.4%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 3.4%
NIT #4 Seed 9.0%
NIT #5 Seed 11.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

St Bonaventure Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 95 Bucknell Home L 85-88
11/10 334 Jackson St Home W 67-36
11/12 187 Niagara Away 66.4%
11/19 113 Georgia St Neutal 60%
11/28 122 Canisius Home 72.3%
12/1 351 Delaware St Home 99.3%
12/5 246 Siena Home 92%
12/8 18 Buffalo Home 34.7%
12/18 77 Vermont Away 39.2%
12/21 94 Northeastern Away 40.2%
12/29 26 Syracuse Away 17%
1/6 207 George Mason Away 66.4%
1/9 76 St Joseph’s PA Home 52.9%
1/12 319 Fordham Home 97.7%
1/16 47 Rhode Island Away 22.8%
1/19 179 Dayton Home 84%
1/23 218 Massachusetts Away 72.1%
1/26 199 Richmond Away 65.3%
2/1 97 Davidson Home 63.8%
2/6 175 Duquesne Away 62.5%
2/9 144 VA Commonwealth Home 80.9%
2/12 76 St Joseph’s PA Away 34.4%
2/17 207 George Mason Home 85.7%
2/20 209 La Salle Home 84%
2/23 319 Fordham Away 91.7%
2/27 175 Duquesne Home 83%
3/2 252 G Washington Away 75.7%
3/6 97 Davidson Away 44.9%
3/9 146 St Louis Home 81.1%