St. Bonaventure Bonnies Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. All of these projections for St Bonaventure are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

St Bonaventure Record and Rankings

Record: 6-11
Projected Final Record: 11.7-19.3

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 2-2
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 7.7-10.3
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 8

St Bonaventure Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 199
RPI Rank: 247
NET Rank: 189
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-2 1-2 5-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.333 0.625

Our current projections give the St. Bonaventure Bonnies a 1.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 97.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account St Bonaventure’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

St Bonaventure Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 150 Bucknell Home L 85-88
11/10 327 Jackson St Home W 67-36
11/12 290 Niagara Away L 72-80
11/19 71 Georgia St Neutral L 65-75
11/20 154 Boise St Neutral L 52-72
11/21 145 Akron Neutral L 49-61
11/28 266 Canisius Home W 70-55
12/1 349 Delaware St Home W 90-61
12/5 270 Siena Home W 82-40
12/8 11 Buffalo Home L 62-80
12/18 80 Vermont Away L 76-83
12/21 125 Northeastern Away L 59-64
12/29 43 Syracuse Away L 47-81
1/6 135 George Mason Away L 53-68
1/9 164 St Joseph’s PA Home W 73-47
1/12 239 Fordham Neutal W 71-64
1/16 134 Rhode Island Away L 63-75
1/19 73 Dayton Home 33.6%
1/23 195 Massachusetts Away 39.9%
1/26 228 Richmond Away 47.8%
2/1 72 Davidson Home 34.7%
2/6 141 Duquesne Away 28.2%
2/9 53 VA Commonwealth Home 29.7%
2/12 164 St Joseph’s PA Away 30.9%
2/17 135 George Mason Home 43.9%
2/20 272 La Salle Home 75.3%
2/23 239 Fordham Away 51.1%
2/27 141 Duquesne Home 48.2%
3/2 252 G Washington Away 54.8%
3/6 72 Davidson Away 15.5%
3/9 67 St Louis Home 36.6%