St. Bonaventure Bonnies Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. All of these projections for St Bonaventure are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

St Bonaventure Record and Rankings

Record: 18-16
Projected Final Record: 18.0-16.0

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 4

St Bonaventure Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 125
RPI Rank: 125
NET Rank: 126
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-7 0-3 6-3 12-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.667 0.857

Our current projections give the St. Bonaventure Bonnies a 45.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 54.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account St Bonaventure’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 31.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 11.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

St Bonaventure Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 146 Bucknell Home L 85-88
11/10 327 Jackson St Home W 67-36
11/12 303 Niagara Away L 72-80
11/19 93 Georgia St Neutral L 65-75
11/20 182 Boise St Neutral L 52-72
11/21 132 Akron Neutral L 49-61
11/28 259 Canisius Home W 70-55
12/1 353 Delaware St Home W 90-61
12/5 234 Siena Home W 82-40
12/8 18 Buffalo Home L 62-80
12/18 85 Vermont Away L 76-83
12/21 79 Northeastern Away L 59-64
12/29 36 Syracuse Away L 48-81
1/6 150 George Mason Away L 53-68
1/9 178 St Joseph’s PA Home W 73-47
1/12 265 Fordham Neutal W 71-64
1/16 129 Rhode Island Away L 63-75
1/19 81 Dayton Home L 86-89
1/23 239 Massachusetts Away W 65-51
1/26 208 Richmond Away W 66-57
2/1 75 Davidson Home L 66-75
2/6 160 Duquesne Away W 51-49
2/9 47 VA Commonwealth Home L 55-85
2/12 178 St Joseph’s PA Away W 76-51
2/17 150 George Mason Home W 79-56
2/20 221 La Salle Home W 62-60
2/23 265 Fordham Away W 74-53
2/27 160 Duquesne Home W 68-47
3/2 276 G Washington Away W 64-58
3/6 75 Davidson Away L 46-64
3/9 98 St Louis Home W 66-57
3/15 150 George Mason Neutal W 68-57
3/16 129 Rhode Island Neutal W 68-51
3/17 98 St Louis Neutral L 53-55