St. Francis Red Flash Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the St. Francis Red Flash. All of these projections for St Francis PA are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

St Francis PA Record and Rankings

Record: 18-14
Projected Final Record: 18.0-14.0

NEC Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final NEC Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the NEC: 1

St Francis PA Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 242
RPI Rank: 181
NET Rank: 265
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-2 2-3 14-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.400 0.700

Our current projections give the St. Francis Red Flash a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account St Francis PA’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the St. Francis Red Flash. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

St Francis PA Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 18 Buffalo Away L 67-82
11/9 343 Morgan St Home W 80-60
11/16 116 UCLA Away L 58-95
11/19 4 North Carolina Away L 76-101
11/24 17 Virginia Tech Away L 37-75
11/27 No Rank Bloomsburg Home W 113-59
11/30 303 Niagara Home W 79-75
12/4 224 American Univ Away L 82-95
12/9 231 Delaware Away L 83-88
12/18 No Rank Franciscan OH Home W 96-63
12/22 159 Lehigh Away L 76-88
1/3 325 Mt St Mary’s Home W 80-69
1/5 202 F Dickinson Home L 61-79
1/10 263 LIU Brooklyn Away W 74-67
1/12 272 St Francis NY Away L 68-72
1/19 322 Central Conn Away W 80-69
1/21 320 Bryant Away L 67-76
1/24 299 Wagner Home L 79-83
1/26 262 Sacred Heart Home W 79-78
1/31 267 Robert Morris Away W 76-73
2/2 325 Mt St Mary’s Away W 72-63
2/7 322 Central Conn Home W 90-85
2/9 320 Bryant Home W 84-75
2/14 202 F Dickinson Away W 87-62
2/16 267 Robert Morris Home W 72-69
2/21 272 St Francis NY Home W 81-71
2/23 263 LIU Brooklyn Home L 66-69
2/28 299 Wagner Away W 83-72
3/2 262 Sacred Heart Away L 84-94
3/6 320 Bryant Home W 67-63
3/9 263 LIU Brooklyn Home W 72-64
3/12 202 F Dickinson Home L 76-85