Stetson Hatters Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Stetson Hatters. All of these projections for Stetson are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Stetson Record and Rankings

Record: 4-14
Projected Final Record: 6.8-24.2

Atlantic Sun Conference Record: 0-3
Projected Final Atlantic Sun Record: 2.8-13.2
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic Sun: 8

Stetson Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 347
RPI Rank: 348
NET Rank: 347
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-0 0-4 2-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.222

Our current projections give the Stetson Hatters a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Stetson’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Stetson Hatters. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Stetson Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 No Rank Johnson FL Home W 116-66
11/11 196 Missouri St Away L 70-83
11/14 126 USC Away L 59-95
11/17 320 SE Louisiana Away L 57-69
11/19 283 Robert Morris Home L 72-81
11/23 318 VMI Home L 79-87
11/26 312 Bethune-Cookman Away L 74-84
11/28 130 South Florida Away L 71-75
12/1 5 Duke Away L 49-113
12/5 319 W Illinois Home W 68-64
12/8 286 Marist Home L 75-79
12/16 48 UCF Away L 65-90
12/18 353 UNC Asheville Home W 80-74
12/21 221 Longwood Away L 63-77
1/3 No Rank Edward Waters Home W 72-65
1/9 69 Liberty Home L 53-71
1/12 47 Lipscomb Away L 71-95
1/16 179 North Florida Home L 77-87
1/19 294 North Alabama Away 15.8%
1/21 285 FL Gulf Coast Away 14.1%
1/24 153 NJIT Home 12.7%
1/27 47 Lipscomb Home 6.3%
1/30 292 Jacksonville Away 14.6%
2/2 344 Kennesaw Home 56.9%
2/5 69 Liberty Away 1.3%
2/13 292 Jacksonville Home 35.5%
2/16 285 FL Gulf Coast Home 35.5%
2/20 153 NJIT Away 6.6%
2/23 294 North Alabama Home 38.2%
2/26 179 North Florida Away 7.4%
3/1 344 Kennesaw Away 38.5%