Stetson Hatters Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Stetson Hatters. All of these projections for Stetson are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Stetson Record and Rankings

Record: 7-24
Projected Final Record: 7.0-24.0

Atlantic Sun Conference Record: 3-13
Projected Final Atlantic Sun Record: 3.0-13.0
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic Sun: 9

Stetson Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 333
RPI Rank: 340
NET Rank: 336
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-4 0-7 5-10
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.333

Our current projections give the Stetson Hatters a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Stetson’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Stetson Hatters. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Stetson Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 No Rank Johnson FL Home W 116-66
11/11 175 Missouri St Away L 70-83
11/14 120 USC Away L 59-95
11/17 223 SE Louisiana Away L 57-69
11/19 267 Robert Morris Home L 72-81
11/23 275 VMI Home L 79-87
11/26 317 Bethune-Cookman Away L 74-84
11/28 122 South Florida Away L 71-75
12/1 2 Duke Away L 49-113
12/5 310 W Illinois Home W 68-64
12/8 293 Marist Home L 75-79
12/16 35 UCF Away L 65-90
12/18 349 UNC Asheville Home W 80-74
12/21 295 Longwood Away L 63-77
1/3 No Rank Edward Waters Home W 72-65
1/9 69 Liberty Home L 53-71
1/12 67 Lipscomb Away L 71-95
1/16 180 North Florida Home L 77-87
1/19 300 North Alabama Away L 62-63
1/21 219 FL Gulf Coast Away L 65-87
1/24 174 NJIT Home L 59-82
1/27 67 Lipscomb Home L 65-88
1/30 291 Jacksonville Away L 57-72
2/2 335 Kennesaw Home W 92-75
2/5 69 Liberty Away L 54-57
2/13 291 Jacksonville Home L 70-93
2/16 219 FL Gulf Coast Home W 67-55
2/20 174 NJIT Away L 77-82
2/23 300 North Alabama Home W 63-60
2/26 180 North Florida Away L 67-77
3/1 335 Kennesaw Away L 82-83