Stony Brook Seawolves Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Stony Brook Seawolves. All of these projections for Stony Brook are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Stony Brook Record and Rankings

Record: 24-8
Projected Final Record: 24.0-8.0

America East Conference Record: 12-4
Projected Final America East Record: 12.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the America East: 2

Stony Brook Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 157
RPI Rank: 114
NET Rank: 156
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 2-3 4-2 17-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.400 0.667 0.895

Our current projections give the Stony Brook Seawolves a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Stony Brook’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Stony Brook Seawolves. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Stony Brook Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 276 G Washington Away W 77-74
11/9 65 South Carolina Away W 83-81
11/16 232 Holy Cross Neutral L 70-84
11/17 258 Norfolk St Neutal W 72-65
11/21 No Rank Molloy Home W 97-61
11/24 129 Rhode Island Away W 68-58
11/27 258 Norfolk St Away W 79-73
12/1 240 Quinnipiac Home W 71-61
12/5 307 Manhattan Away W 69-62
12/8 145 Brown Away L 69-71
12/12 263 LIU Brooklyn Home W 83-79
12/16 231 Delaware Home W 74-68
12/19 95 Hofstra Home L 64-71
12/22 240 Quinnipiac Away W 76-73
12/29 169 Northern Iowa Away W 73-63
1/5 274 MA Lowell Away W 75-63
1/9 321 Binghamton Home W 59-46
1/12 341 New Hampshire Home W 62-44
1/19 336 Maine Away W 64-61
1/23 281 Albany NY Away W 67-66
1/26 85 Vermont Home L 52-73
1/30 206 UMBC Away L 49-57
2/2 197 Hartford Home W 86-77
2/6 321 Binghamton Away W 85-59
2/9 274 MA Lowell Home W 76-65
2/16 341 New Hampshire Away W 66-64
2/21 281 Albany NY Home L 70-74
2/23 336 Maine Home W 81-53
2/27 206 UMBC Home W 78-63
3/2 85 Vermont Away L 50-56
3/5 197 Hartford Away W 68-63
3/9 321 Binghamton Home L 72-78