These are the latest Sun Belt Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Sun Belt are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 12/10/2018.
Sun Belt Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|8||Ark Little Rock||4||6||13.3||17.7||0||0||6.5||9.5|
Projected Sun Belt Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Sun Belt Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
Projected Sun Belt Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Sun Belt Conference standings.
|Ark Little Rock||0%||0%||2%||1%||51%|
Sun Belt Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Sun Belt Conference has completely changed the way that their tournament will run in 2019. The bottom two teams in the standings will not make the tournament and the 7th through 10-seed will play the First Round at the higher seed’s site.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Campus Sites (1st Round), Lakefront Arena (New Orleans, LA)
First Round: March 12th, 2018
Second Round: March 14th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 15th, 2019
Semifinals: March 16th, 2019
Sun Belt Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|1/3||Appalachian St||48.9%||South Alabama||51.1%||South Alabama wins by 1|
|1/3||Ga Southern||48.2%||Texas St||51.8%||Texas St wins by 1|
|1/3||Georgia St||73.4%||UT Arlington||26.6%||Georgia St wins by 7|
|1/3||Ark Little Rock||42.7%||ULM||57.3%||ULM wins by 3|
|1/3||Coastal Car||39.9%||Troy||60.1%||Troy wins by 4|
|1/5||Appalachian St||43.7%||Troy||56.3%||Troy wins by 2|
|1/5||Georgia St||48.5%||Texas St||51.5%||Texas St wins by 1|
|1/5||Arkansas St||39.5%||ULM||60.5%||ULM wins by 4|
|1/5||Coastal Car||43.3%||South Alabama||56.7%||South Alabama wins by 3|
|1/5||Ga Southern||72.9%||UT Arlington||27.1%||Ga Southern wins by 7|
|1/10||Troy||51.1%||Ark Little Rock||48.9%||Troy wins by 1|
|1/10||UT Arlington||30.1%||Appalachian St||69.9%||Appalachian St wins by 6|
|1/10||South Alabama||50%||Arkansas St||50%||South Alabama wins by 1|
|1/10||ULM||8.9%||Ga Southern||91.1%||Ga Southern wins by 13|
|1/10||Texas St||63.4%||Coastal Car||36.6%||Texas St wins by 5|
|1/12||Texas St||60.1%||Appalachian St||39.9%||Texas St wins by 4|
|1/12||South Alabama||44.5%||Ark Little Rock||55.5%||Ark Little Rock wins by 2|
|1/12||Troy||54.4%||Arkansas St||45.6%||Troy wins by 2|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|