Sun Belt Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Sun Belt Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Sun Belt are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Sun Belt Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Georgia St 24 9 24 9 13 5 13 5
2 UT Arlington 17 16 17 16 12 6 12 6
3 Ga Southern 21 12 21 12 12 6 12 6
4 Texas St 24 9 24 9 12 6 12 6
5 Louisiana 19 13 19 13 10 8 10 8
6 Coastal Car 15 16 15 16 9 9 9 9
7 ULM 18 15 18 15 9 9 9 9
8 South Alabama 17 17 17 17 8 10 8 10
9 Arkansas St 13 19 13 19 7 11 7 11
10 Appalachian St 11 21 11 21 6 12 6 12
11 Troy 12 18 12 18 5 13 5 13
12 Ark Little Rock 10 21 10 21 5 13 5 13

Projected Sun Belt Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Sun Belt Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Georgia St 14 2.087

Projected Sun Belt Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Sun Belt Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Georgia St 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
UT Arlington 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Ga Southern 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Texas St 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Louisiana 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Coastal Car 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
ULM 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
South Alabama 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Arkansas St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Appalachian St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Troy 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Little Rock 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Sun Belt Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Sun Belt Conference has completely changed the way that their tournament will run in 2019. The bottom two teams in the standings will not make the tournament and the 7th through 10-seed will play the First Round at the higher seed’s site.

Regular Season Champion: Georgia St
Tournament Site: Campus Sites (1st Round), Lakefront Arena (New Orleans, LA)
First Round: March 12th, 2018
Second Round: March 14th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 15th, 2019
Semifinals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Georgia St
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
UT Arlington
100%
100%
100%
0%
3
Ga Southern
100%
100%
0%
0%
4
Texas St
100%
100%
0%
0%
5
Louisiana
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
Coastal Car
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
ULM
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
South Alabama
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Arkansas St
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Appalachian St
0%
0%
0%
0%
11
Troy
0%
0%
0%
0%
12
Ark Little Rock
0%
0%
0%
0%

Sun Belt Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC