Sun Belt Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Sun Belt Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Sun Belt are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Sun Belt Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 ULL 27 6 27 6 17 3 17 3
2 Georgia St 23 10 23.5 10.5 14 6 14.5 6.5
3 Ga Southern 21 12 21 12 12 8 12 8
4 UT Arlington 21 12 21.5 12.5 12 8 12.5 8.5
5 Appalachian St 15 18 15 18 10 10 10 10
6 ULM 16 15 16 15 10 10 10 10
7 Troy 16 17 16 17 10 10 10 10
8 Coastal Car 14 18 14 18 8 11 8 11
9 Texas St 15 18 15 18 8 12 8 12
10 South Alabama 14 18 14 18 7 12 7 12
11 Arkansas St 11 21 11 21 6 13 6 13
12 Ark Little Rock 7 25 7 25 4 15 4 15

Projected Sun Belt Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Sun Belt Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Georgia St 14 0.832

Sun Belt Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Sun Belt team. The Sun Belt Conference has a standard twelve team tournament at a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: ULL
Tournament Site: Lakefront Arena (New Orleans, LA)
First Round: March 7th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 9th, 2018
Semifinals: March 10th, 2018
Finals: March 11th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
ULL
100%
100%
0%
0%
2
Georgia St
100%
100%
100%
51.4%
3
Ga Southern
100%
100%
0%
0%
4
UT Arlington
100%
100%
100%
48.6%
5
Appalachian St
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
ULM
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
Troy
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
Coastal Car
0%
0%
0%
0%
9
Texas St
100%
0%
0%
0%
10
South Alabama
0%
0%
0%
0%
11
Arkansas St
0%
0%
0%
0%
12
Ark Little Rock
0%
0%
0%
0%

Sun Belt Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
3/11 UT Arlington 47.1% Georgia St 52.9% Georgia St wins by 1

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC