These are the latest Sun Belt Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Sun Belt are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
Sun Belt Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|10||Ark Little Rock||10||16||11.7||19.3||5||8||6.7||11.3|
Projected Sun Belt Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Sun Belt Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
Projected Sun Belt Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Sun Belt Conference standings.
|Ark Little Rock||0%||0%||0%||0%||25%|
Sun Belt Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Sun Belt Conference has completely changed the way that their tournament will run in 2019. The bottom two teams in the standings will not make the tournament and the 7th through 10-seed will play the First Round at the higher seed’s site.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Campus Sites (1st Round), Lakefront Arena (New Orleans, LA)
First Round: March 12th, 2018
Second Round: March 14th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 15th, 2019
Semifinals: March 16th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
Sun Belt Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||Louisiana||39.2%||UT Arlington||60.8%||UT Arlington wins by 4|
|2/21||Georgia St||63.4%||Appalachian St||36.6%||Georgia St wins by 5|
|2/21||ULM||21.3%||Texas St||78.7%||Texas St wins by 8|
|2/21||Ga Southern||56.5%||Coastal Car||43.5%||Ga Southern wins by 2|
|2/23||Ga Southern||62.8%||Appalachian St||37.2%||Ga Southern wins by 5|
|2/23||South Alabama||40.2%||Troy||59.8%||Troy wins by 4|
|2/23||Louisiana||19.4%||Texas St||80.6%||Texas St wins by 9|
|2/23||Ark Little Rock||43.5%||Arkansas St||56.5%||Arkansas St wins by 2|
|2/23||ULM||42.2%||UT Arlington||57.8%||UT Arlington wins by 3|
|2/23||Georgia St||56.7%||Coastal Car||43.3%||Georgia St wins by 3|
|2/28||Ark Little Rock||16%||Ga Southern||84%||Ga Southern wins by 10|
|2/28||Texas St||66%||Troy||34%||Texas St wins by 5|
|2/28||UT Arlington||56.3%||South Alabama||43.7%||UT Arlington wins by 2|
|2/28||Arkansas St||14.8%||Georgia St||85.2%||Georgia St wins by 11|
|2/28||Appalachian St||30.9%||ULM||69.1%||ULM wins by 6|
|2/28||Coastal Car||43.7%||Louisiana||56.3%||Louisiana wins by 2|
|3/2||Texas St||67.2%||South Alabama||32.8%||Texas St wins by 6|
|3/2||UT Arlington||55.1%||Troy||44.9%||UT Arlington wins by 2|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|