Syracuse Orange Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Syracuse Orange. All of these projections for Syracuse are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Syracuse Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 19.2-10.8

ACC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final ACC Record: 9.3-8.7
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 8

Syracuse Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 26
RPI Rank: 75
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 5 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 2-0 0-0 0-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Syracuse Orange a 89.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 4.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 6.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Syracuse’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #2 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 13.6%
NCAA #4 Seed 31.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 16.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 9.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 5.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 3.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 3.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 2.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 1.2%
NIT #3 Seed 1.2%
NIT #4 Seed 0.4%
NIT #5 Seed 0.4%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Syracuse Orange. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Syracuse Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 203 E Washington Home W 66-34
11/10 303 Morehead St Home W 84-70
11/15 160 Connecticut Neutral 87.5%
11/21 128 Colgate Home 90%
11/28 8 Ohio St Away 20.1%
12/1 261 Cornell Home 98.5%
12/4 94 Northeastern Home 83.5%
12/8 124 Georgetown Home 91.8%
12/15 78 Old Dominion Home 84.2%
12/18 18 Buffalo Home 55.5%
12/22 306 Arkansas St Home 98.7%
12/29 90 St Bonaventure Home 83%
1/5 41 Notre Dame Away 44.1%
1/9 21 Clemson Home 60.8%
1/12 96 Georgia Tech Home 86.1%
1/14 1 Duke Away 7%
1/19 177 Pittsburgh Home 93.4%
1/24 23 Miami FL Home 61.8%
1/26 22 Virginia Tech Away 34.4%
1/30 69 Boston College Away 54.8%
2/2 177 Pittsburgh Away 79.7%
2/5 10 Florida St Home 47.4%
2/9 69 Boston College Home 81.6%
2/13 25 NC State Away 37.2%
2/20 38 Louisville Home 68.7%
2/23 1 Duke Home 22.8%
2/26 5 North Carolina Away 14.6%
3/2 103 Wake Forest Away 60.5%
3/4 4 Virginia Home 40.2%
3/9 21 Clemson Away 36.9%