Syracuse Orange Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Syracuse Orange. All of these projections for Syracuse are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Syracuse Record and Rankings

Record: 20-13
Projected Final Record: 20.0-13.0

ACC Conference Record: 10-8
Projected Final ACC Record: 10.0-8.0
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 6

Syracuse Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 36
RPI Rank: 38
NET Rank: 43
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 9 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-9 3-2 10-2 5-0
Win % by Tier 0.182 0.600 0.833 1.000

Our current projections give the Syracuse Orange a 93.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 6.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Syracuse’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 6.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 24.8%
NCAA #9 Seed 32.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 19.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 6.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.8%
NIT #2 Seed 0.8%
NIT #3 Seed 1.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.6%
NIT #5 Seed 0.8%
NIT #6 Seed 1.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Syracuse Orange. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Syracuse Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 233 E Washington Home W 66-34
11/10 255 Morehead St Home W 84-70
11/15 106 Connecticut Neutral L 76-83
11/16 57 Oregon Neutral L 65-80
11/21 127 Colgate Home W 77-56
11/28 46 Ohio St Away W 72-62
12/1 181 Cornell Home W 63-55
12/4 79 Northeastern Home W 72-49
12/8 68 Georgetown Home W 72-71
12/15 87 Old Dominion Home L 62-68
12/18 18 Buffalo Home L 59-71
12/22 244 Arkansas St Home W 82-52
12/29 125 St Bonaventure Home W 81-48
1/5 103 Notre Dame Away W 72-62
1/9 31 Clemson Home W 61-53
1/12 99 Georgia Tech Home L 59-73
1/14 2 Duke Away W 95-91
1/19 121 Pittsburgh Home W 74-63
1/24 84 Miami FL Home W 73-53
1/26 17 Virginia Tech Away L 56-78
1/30 119 Boston College Away W 77-71
2/2 121 Pittsburgh Away W 65-56
2/5 10 Florida St Home L 62-80
2/9 119 Boston College Home W 67-56
2/13 33 NC State Away L 58-73
2/20 25 Louisville Home W 69-49
2/23 2 Duke Home L 65-75
2/26 4 North Carolina Away L 85-93
3/2 151 Wake Forest Away W 79-54
3/4 1 Virginia Home L 53-79
3/9 31 Clemson Away L 55-67
3/13 121 Pittsburgh Neutal W 73-59
3/14 2 Duke Neutral L 72-84