Temple Owls Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Temple Owls. All of these projections for Temple are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Temple Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 17.6-12.4

AAC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final AAC Record: 10.4-7.6
Projected Final Rank in the AAC: 5

Temple Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 116
RPI Rank: 168
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 2-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Temple Owls a 13.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 11.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 74.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Temple’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 4.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 2.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.6%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 2.0%
NIT #4 Seed 4.2%
NIT #5 Seed 4.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.6%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Temple Owls. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Temple Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 209 La Salle Home W 75-67
11/9 331 Detroit Home W 83-67
11/13 49 Georgia Home 39.9%
11/16 293 Loyola MD Home 92%
11/19 144 VA Commonwealth Neutral 61%
11/27 89 Missouri Away 26.7%
12/1 76 St Joseph’s PA Neutal 34.8%
12/5 2 Villanova Away 1.6%
12/12 218 Massachusetts Home 84.5%
12/15 97 Davidson Neutal 46.7%
12/22 233 Drexel Neutal 77.5%
1/2 131 UCF Away 46.3%
1/6 88 Wichita St Away 31.3%
1/9 33 Houston Home 36.6%
1/12 256 South Florida Home 91.8%
1/16 292 East Carolina Away 80.6%
1/19 100 Penn Home 58.8%
1/24 105 Memphis Home 56.5%
1/27 52 Cincinnati Home 43.9%
1/31 33 Houston Away 13%
2/2 215 Tulane Away 61.1%
2/6 160 Connecticut Home 79.7%
2/9 107 Tulsa Away 38.2%
2/13 210 SMU Home 85%
2/16 256 South Florida Away 71.2%
2/23 107 Tulsa Home 60.8%
2/26 105 Memphis Away 33.2%
3/3 215 Tulane Home 85.4%
3/7 160 Connecticut Away 54.4%
3/9 131 UCF Home 70.3%