Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks. All of these projections for TN Martin are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

TN Martin Record and Rankings

Record: 12-19
Projected Final Record: 12.0-19.0

OVC Conference Record: 6-12
Projected Final OVC Record: 6.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 7

TN Martin Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 283
RPI Rank: 293
NET Rank: 309
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-5 1-4 9-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.200 0.600

Our current projections give the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account TN Martin’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

TN Martin Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Cumberland TN Home W 91-58
11/10 105 WKU Away L 71-86
11/16 214 Mercer Away L 60-77
11/21 310 W Illinois Home W 92-90
12/1 349 UNC Asheville Home W 87-70
12/5 313 Tulane Away L 74-87
12/8 71 ETSU Away L 62-80
12/15 No Rank Brescia Home W 108-79
12/18 252 Chattanooga Home W 75-72
12/22 86 Fresno St Away L 53-93
12/30 104 Bowling Green Away L 80-94
1/3 294 E Illinois Away L 87-92
1/5 312 SE Missouri St Away L 69-74
1/10 50 Murray St Home L 77-98
1/12 131 Austin Peay Home L 70-72
1/17 256 E Kentucky Away L 73-97
1/19 255 Morehead St Away L 77-85
1/24 294 E Illinois Home L 64-66
1/26 323 SIUE Home W 85-69
1/31 314 Tennessee St Away L 67-68
2/2 55 Belmont Away L 67-82
2/7 115 Jacksonville St Home W 66-64
2/9 328 Tennessee Tech Home W 77-58
2/14 312 SE Missouri St Home W 81-72
2/16 323 SIUE Away W 73-69
2/21 50 Murray St Away L 75-85
2/23 131 Austin Peay Away L 78-92
2/28 55 Belmont Home L 67-112
3/2 314 Tennessee St Home W 91-86
3/6 294 E Illinois Neutal W 78-71
3/7 115 Jacksonville St Neutral L 81-88