Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks. All of these projections for TN Martin are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

TN Martin Record and Rankings

Record: 5-10
Projected Final Record: 9.6-19.4

OVC Conference Record: 0-4
Projected Final OVC Record: 4.6-13.4
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 12

TN Martin Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 322
RPI Rank: 332
NET Rank: 331
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 0-3 3-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.500

Our current projections give the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account TN Martin’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

TN Martin Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Cumberland TN Home W 91-58
11/10 121 WKU Away L 71-86
11/16 210 Mercer Away L 60-77
11/21 319 W Illinois Home W 92-90
12/1 353 UNC Asheville Home W 87-70
12/5 305 Tulane Away L 74-87
12/8 55 ETSU Away L 62-80
12/15 No Rank Brescia Home W 108-79
12/18 261 Chattanooga Home W 75-72
12/22 59 Fresno St Away L 53-93
12/30 115 Bowling Green Away L 80-94
1/3 230 E Illinois Away L 87-92
1/5 317 SE Missouri St Away L 69-74
1/10 51 Murray St Home L 77-98
1/12 127 Austin Peay Home L 70-72
1/17 240 E Kentucky Away 18.9%
1/19 259 Morehead St Away 20.1%
1/24 230 E Illinois Home 42.5%
1/26 325 SIUE Home 61.8%
1/31 332 Tennessee St Away 43.5%
2/2 68 Belmont Away 3.6%
2/7 117 Jacksonville St Home 19.4%
2/9 324 Tennessee Tech Home 62.1%
2/14 317 SE Missouri St Home 58.8%
2/16 325 SIUE Away 41.2%
2/21 51 Murray St Away 1.6%
2/23 127 Austin Peay Away 7.8%
2/28 68 Belmont Home 17%
3/2 332 Tennessee St Home 63.8%