Tennessee State Tigers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Tennessee State Tigers. All of these projections for Tennessee St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Tennessee St Record and Rankings

Record: 9-21
Projected Final Record: 9.0-21.0

OVC Conference Record: 6-12
Projected Final OVC Record: 6.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 10

Tennessee St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 314
RPI Rank: 312
NET Rank: 316
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-5 0-4 1-4 6-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.200 0.429

Our current projections give the Tennessee State Tigers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Tennessee St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Tennessee State Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Tennessee St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 67 Lipscomb Away L 79-86
11/13 270 Ark Little Rock Home L 67-83
11/15 No Rank Carver Bib Home W 92-57
11/17 No Rank Fisk Home W 113-61
11/20 269 CS Northridge Away L 77-80
11/23 5 Kentucky Away L 62-77
12/1 105 WKU Away L 74-88
12/9 340 Coppin St Away W 64-55
12/15 290 NC A&T Home L 76-78
12/18 132 Akron Away L 60-82
12/22 58 Memphis Away L 41-99
12/29 161 Vanderbilt Away L 76-95
1/3 328 Tennessee Tech Home L 64-66
1/5 115 Jacksonville St Home L 62-69
1/10 256 E Kentucky Home W 82-81
1/12 255 Morehead St Home L 61-74
1/17 328 Tennessee Tech Away W 79-62
1/19 55 Belmont Away L 74-92
1/24 131 Austin Peay Away L 74-89
1/26 50 Murray St Away L 62-100
1/31 283 TN Martin Home W 68-67
2/2 312 SE Missouri St Home W 79-50
2/7 255 Morehead St Away W 81-80
2/9 256 E Kentucky Away L 65-75
2/14 55 Belmont Home L 66-77
2/16 115 Jacksonville St Away L 65-84
2/21 323 SIUE Home L 84-85
2/23 294 E Illinois Home W 75-60
2/28 312 SE Missouri St Away L 74-89
3/2 283 TN Martin Away L 86-91