Tennessee State Tigers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Tennessee State Tigers. All of these projections for Tennessee St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Tennessee St Record and Rankings

Record: 4-12
Projected Final Record: 7.8-22.2

OVC Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final OVC Record: 4.8-13.2
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 11

Tennessee St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 332
RPI Rank: 340
NET Rank: 330
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-2 0-3 2-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.286

Our current projections give the Tennessee State Tigers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Tennessee St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Tennessee State Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Tennessee St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 47 Lipscomb Away L 79-86
11/13 248 Ark Little Rock Home L 67-83
11/15 No Rank Carver Bib Home W 92-57
11/17 No Rank Fisk Home W 113-61
11/20 273 CS Northridge Away L 77-80
11/23 12 Kentucky Away L 62-77
12/1 121 WKU Away L 74-88
12/9 348 Coppin St Away W 64-55
12/15 264 NC A&T Home L 76-78
12/18 145 Akron Away L 60-82
12/22 89 Memphis Away L 41-99
12/29 106 Vanderbilt Away L 76-95
1/3 324 Tennessee Tech Home L 64-66
1/5 117 Jacksonville St Home L 62-69
1/10 240 E Kentucky Home W 82-81
1/12 259 Morehead St Home L 61-74
1/17 324 Tennessee Tech Away 37.6%
1/19 68 Belmont Away 1.5%
1/24 127 Austin Peay Away 6.6%
1/26 51 Murray St Away 1.4%
1/31 322 TN Martin Home 56.5%
2/2 317 SE Missouri St Home 55.1%
2/7 259 Morehead St Away 18.2%
2/9 240 E Kentucky Away 17.2%
2/14 68 Belmont Home 10%
2/16 117 Jacksonville St Away 7%
2/21 325 SIUE Home 57.3%
2/23 230 E Illinois Home 40.9%
2/28 317 SE Missouri St Away 34.4%
3/2 322 TN Martin Away 36.2%