Tennessee Volunteers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Tennessee Volunteers. All of these projections for Tennessee are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Tennessee Record and Rankings

Record: 29-5
Projected Final Record: 29.0-5.0

SEC Conference Record: 15-3
Projected Final SEC Record: 15.0-3.0
Projected Final Rank in the SEC: 3

Tennessee Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 3
RPI Rank: 6
NET Rank: 6
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 2 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 9-4 5-0 7-0 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.692 1.000 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Tennessee Volunteers a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Tennessee’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 25.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 67.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 4.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Tennessee Volunteers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Tennessee Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Lenoir Rhyne Home W 86-41
11/9 170 Louisiana Home W 87-65
11/13 99 Georgia Tech Home W 66-53
11/21 25 Louisville Neutal W 92-81
11/23 15 Kansas Neutral L 81-87
11/28 256 E Kentucky Home W 95-67
12/2 280 TAM C. Christi Home W 79-51
12/9 7 Gonzaga Neutal W 76-73
12/15 58 Memphis Away W 102-92
12/19 166 Samford Home W 83-70
12/22 151 Wake Forest Home W 83-64
12/29 328 Tennessee Tech Home W 96-53
1/5 124 Georgia Home W 96-50
1/8 73 Missouri Away W 87-63
1/12 29 Florida Away W 78-67
1/15 63 Arkansas Home W 106-87
1/19 54 Alabama Home W 71-68
1/23 161 Vanderbilt Away W 88-83
1/26 77 West Virginia Home W 83-66
1/29 65 South Carolina Away W 92-70
2/2 78 Texas A&M Away W 93-76
2/5 73 Missouri Home W 72-60
2/9 29 Florida Home W 73-61
2/13 65 South Carolina Home W 85-73
2/16 5 Kentucky Away L 69-86
2/19 161 Vanderbilt Home W 58-46
2/23 13 LSU Away L 80-82
2/27 38 Mississippi Away W 73-71
3/2 5 Kentucky Home W 71-52
3/5 21 Mississippi St Home W 71-54
3/9 16 Auburn Away L 80-84
3/15 21 Mississippi St Neutal W 83-76
3/16 5 Kentucky Neutal W 82-78
3/17 16 Auburn Neutral L 64-84