Texas A&M Aggies Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Texas A&M Aggies. All of these projections for Texas A&M are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Texas A&M Record and Rankings

Record: 7-8
Projected Final Record: 12.3-17.7

SEC Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final SEC Record: 5.9-12.1
Projected Final Rank in the SEC: 12

Texas A&M Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 98
RPI Rank: 110
NET Rank: 95
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-5 1-0 0-2 4-1
Win % by Tier 0.286 1.000 0.000 0.800

Our current projections give the Texas A&M Aggies a 6.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 9.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 84.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Texas A&M’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.6%
NIT #2 Seed 2.2%
NIT #3 Seed 1.2%
NIT #4 Seed 2.4%
NIT #5 Seed 0.8%
NIT #6 Seed 0.8%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Texas A&M Aggies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Texas A&M Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 341 Savannah St Home W 98-83
11/9 112 UC Irvine Home L 73-74
11/15 6 Gonzaga Away L 71-94
11/18 45 Minnesota Neutral L 64-69
11/20 41 Washington Neutral L 67-71
11/23 265 South Alabama Home W 74-62
12/3 330 Northwestern LA Home W 80-59
12/15 57 Oregon St Neutal W 67-64
12/19 175 Valparaiso Home W 71-49
12/22 110 Marshall Home W 92-68
12/29 185 TX Southern Home L 73-88
1/5 65 Arkansas Home L 71-73
1/8 12 Kentucky Away L 74-85
1/12 50 Alabama Away W 81-80
1/16 16 Auburn Home L 66-85
1/19 87 Missouri Home 58.2%
1/22 46 Florida Away 16.5%
1/26 32 Kansas St Home 38.5%
1/30 21 LSU Home 35.9%
2/2 3 Tennessee Home 13.4%
2/6 28 Mississippi Away 14.1%
2/9 87 Missouri Away 36.2%
2/12 84 Georgia Home 56.9%
2/16 90 South Carolina Away 36.9%
2/19 50 Alabama Home 45.6%
2/23 65 Arkansas Away 27.2%
2/26 21 LSU Away 13.4%
3/2 106 Vanderbilt Home 61.5%
3/5 90 South Carolina Home 58.8%
3/9 29 Mississippi St Away 14.8%