Texas A&M Aggies Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Texas A&M Aggies. All of these projections for Texas A&M are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Texas A&M Record and Rankings

Record: 1-1
Projected Final Record: 15.9-15.1

SEC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final SEC Record: 7.8-10.2
Projected Final Rank in the SEC: 11

Texas A&M Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 70
RPI Rank: 166
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-1 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Texas A&M Aggies a 85.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 9.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 5.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Texas A&M’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #3 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 3.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 6.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 6.6%
NCAA #7 Seed 11.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 16.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 16.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 12.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 5.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 5.4%
NIT #2 Seed 1.4%
NIT #3 Seed 1.2%
NIT #4 Seed 1.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.4%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Texas A&M Aggies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Texas A&M Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 297 Savannah St Home W 98-83
11/9 92 UC Irvine Home L 73-74
11/15 3 Gonzaga Away 7.8%
11/18 109 Minnesota Neutral 61.8%
11/20 55 Washington Neutral 43.2%
11/23 266 South Alabama Home 93.4%
12/3 342 Northwestern LA Home 98.8%
12/8 69 Boston College Home 62.1%
12/15 85 Oregon St Neutal 55.8%
12/19 172 Valparaiso Home 86.1%
12/22 64 Marshall Home 64.9%
12/29 137 TX Southern Home 82.8%
1/5 58 Arkansas Home 55.9%
1/8 11 Kentucky Away 9.7%
1/12 57 Alabama Away 35.9%
1/16 19 Auburn Home 41.5%
1/19 89 Missouri Home 67.6%
1/22 48 Florida Away 32.4%
1/26 46 Kansas St Home 56.5%
1/30 51 LSU Home 57.3%
2/2 7 Tennessee Home 27.5%
2/6 91 Mississippi Away 42.7%
2/9 89 Missouri Away 44.5%
2/12 49 Georgia Home 53.3%
2/16 112 South Carolina Away 48.5%
2/19 57 Alabama Home 57.3%
2/23 58 Arkansas Away 32.8%
2/26 51 LSU Away 35.5%
3/2 30 Vanderbilt Home 43.3%
3/5 112 South Carolina Home 71.8%
3/9 32 Mississippi St Away 21.3%