Texas Southern Tigers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Texas Southern Tigers. All of these projections for TX Southern are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/17/2018.

TX Southern Record and Rankings

Record: 4-6
Projected Final Record: 21.0-10.0

Southwestern Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Southwestern Record: 15.5-2.5
Projected Final Rank in the Southwestern: 1

TX Southern Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 159
RPI Rank: 81
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 1-1 1-1 0-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.500 0.000

Our current projections give the Texas Southern Tigers a 68.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 23.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 7.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account TX Southern’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #14 Seed 8.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 19.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 38.8%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.6%
NIT #7 Seed 6.0%
NIT #8 Seed 17.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Texas Southern Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

TX Southern Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 87 Baylor Away W 72-69
11/10 8 Gonzaga Away L 67-104
11/12 31 Iowa St Away L 73-85
11/14 90 San Diego St Away L 64-103
11/18 177 Evansville Away L 63-85
11/26 48 Oregon Away W 89-84
11/29 No Rank Huston-Tillot Home W 81-76
12/1 25 Arizona St Away L 71-83
12/3 115 Georgia Away L 75-92
12/8 No Rank Concordia TX Home W 107-70
12/17 236 Tulane Away 63.4%
12/19 273 Lamar Away 69.1%
12/29 101 Texas A&M Away 22.3%
1/5 347 Alcorn St Away 92.9%
1/7 345 Southern Univ Away 92.2%
1/12 288 Prairie View Away 69.9%
1/19 233 Grambling Home 80.4%
1/21 335 Jackson St Home 92.6%
1/26 262 Ark Pine Bluff Away 66%
1/28 343 MS Valley St Away 92.2%
2/2 336 Alabama St Home 92.6%
2/4 350 Alabama A&M Home 98.6%
2/9 288 Prairie View Home 83.8%
2/16 233 Grambling Away 61.1%
2/18 335 Jackson St Away 83.3%
2/23 262 Ark Pine Bluff Home 81.6%
2/25 343 MS Valley St Home 95.1%
3/2 336 Alabama St Away 83%
3/4 350 Alabama A&M Away 92.9%
3/7 347 Alcorn St Home 95.1%
3/9 345 Southern Univ Home 92.6%