The Citadel Bulldogs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the The Citadel Bulldogs. All of these projections for Citadel are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Citadel Record and Rankings

Record: 12-18
Projected Final Record: 12.0-18.0

Southern Conference Record: 4-14
Projected Final Southern Record: 4.0-14.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southern: 10

Citadel Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 254
RPI Rank: 242
NET Rank: 274
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-7 1-3 1-2 7-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.250 0.333 0.538

Our current projections give the The Citadel Bulldogs a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Citadel’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the The Citadel Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Citadel Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 31 Clemson Away L 80-100
11/12 No Rank Mid-Atlantic Chr Home W 148-75
11/14 No Rank Johnson FL Home W 137-60
11/16 40 Texas Away L 69-97
11/20 257 James Madison Away W 91-82
11/24 122 South Florida Away W 84-81
11/27 229 High Point Home W 112-87
12/1 214 Mercer Home W 79-69
12/5 No Rank J&W NC Home W 127-93
12/15 312 SE Missouri St Home W 86-74
12/18 185 Campbell Away W 82-76
12/29 295 Longwood Home L 94-110
1/3 14 Wofford Away L 81-112
1/5 59 Furman Away L 85-101
1/10 71 ETSU Home L 73-98
1/12 289 W Carolina Home L 82-94
1/17 166 Samford Away L 77-80
1/19 252 Chattanooga Away L 71-73
1/24 51 UNC Greensboro Away L 60-83
1/26 275 VMI Home W 84-82
1/31 59 Furman Home L 61-71
2/2 14 Wofford Home L 61-99
2/9 214 Mercer Away W 67-61
2/14 71 ETSU Away L 83-91
2/16 289 W Carolina Away L 82-103
2/21 252 Chattanooga Home L 65-68
2/23 166 Samford Home W 87-83
2/28 51 UNC Greensboro Home L 96-100
3/2 275 VMI Away L 78-81
3/8 166 Samford Neutral L 71-100