Towson Tigers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Towson Tigers. All of these projections for Towson are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Towson Record and Rankings

Record: 6-14
Projected Final Record: 9.3-21.7

Colonial Conference Record: 2-5
Projected Final Colonial Record: 5.3-12.7
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 9

Towson Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 298
RPI Rank: 311
NET Rank: 299
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-1 1-5 4-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.167 0.364

Our current projections give the Towson Tigers a 0.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Towson’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.8%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Towson Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Towson Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 1 Virginia Away L 42-73
11/11 No Rank Wesley DE Home W 93-66
11/16 189 Pepperdine Neutral L 65-74
11/17 186 FL Atlantic Neutral L 71-85
11/18 251 N Dakota St Neutral L 51-76
11/25 278 Loyola MD Home W 85-69
11/30 72 Vermont Home L 64-70
12/5 249 G Washington Away L 64-68
12/8 325 Morgan St Neutral L 69-74
12/11 264 UMBC Away W 80-76
12/21 311 Tulane Neutal W 73-55
12/22 275 La Salle Neutral L 51-57
12/28 315 Elon Away W 77-60
12/30 226 William & Mary Away L 61-71
1/3 120 Col Charleston Home L 55-67
1/5 220 UNC Wilmington Home L 61-67
1/9 216 Cornell Home L 74-86
1/12 246 James Madison Away L 65-74
1/17 223 Drexel Away L 66-72
1/19 203 Delaware Away W 64-63
1/24 105 Northeastern Home 18.4%
1/26 58 Hofstra Home 11.1%
1/31 220 UNC Wilmington Away 22.8%
2/2 120 Col Charleston Away 7.8%
2/9 246 James Madison Home 49.6%
2/14 203 Delaware Home 43.5%
2/16 223 Drexel Home 47.4%
2/21 58 Hofstra Away 6.3%
2/23 105 Northeastern Away 7.4%
2/28 226 William & Mary Home 44.5%
3/2 315 Elon Home 68.3%