Towson Tigers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Towson Tigers. All of these projections for Towson are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Towson Record and Rankings

Record: 10-22
Projected Final Record: 10.0-22.0

Colonial Conference Record: 6-12
Projected Final Colonial Record: 6.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 9

Towson Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 284
RPI Rank: 296
NET Rank: 255
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 1-3 2-7 6-9
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.250 0.222 0.400

Our current projections give the Towson Tigers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Towson’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Towson Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Towson Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 1 Virginia Away L 42-73
11/11 No Rank Wesley DE Home W 93-66
11/16 167 Pepperdine Neutral L 65-74
11/17 177 FL Atlantic Neutral L 71-85
11/18 205 N Dakota St Neutral L 51-76
11/25 279 Loyola MD Home W 85-69
11/30 85 Vermont Home L 64-70
12/5 276 G Washington Away L 64-68
12/8 343 Morgan St Neutral L 69-74
12/11 206 UMBC Away W 80-76
12/21 313 Tulane Neutal W 73-55
12/22 221 La Salle Neutral L 51-57
12/28 288 Elon Away W 77-60
12/30 196 William & Mary Away L 61-71
1/3 109 Col Charleston Home L 55-67
1/5 273 UNC Wilmington Home L 61-67
1/9 181 Cornell Home L 74-86
1/12 257 James Madison Away L 65-74
1/17 238 Drexel Away L 66-72
1/19 231 Delaware Away W 64-63
1/24 79 Northeastern Home W 75-72
1/26 95 Hofstra Home L 61-84
1/31 273 UNC Wilmington Away W 77-76
2/2 109 Col Charleston Away L 53-54
2/9 257 James Madison Home W 66-59
2/14 231 Delaware Home L 71-78
2/16 238 Drexel Home W 92-77
2/21 95 Hofstra Away L 82-91
2/23 79 Northeastern Away L 58-73
2/28 196 William & Mary Home L 65-67
3/2 288 Elon Home L 66-86
3/9 257 James Madison Neutral L 73-74