Tulsa Golden Hurricane Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. All of these projections for Tulsa are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Tulsa Record and Rankings

Record: 12-7
Projected Final Record: 18.1-12.9

AAC Conference Record: 2-4
Projected Final AAC Record: 8.1-9.9
Projected Final Rank in the AAC: 7

Tulsa Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 104
RPI Rank: 80
NET Rank: 102
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-3 2-1 2-3 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.250 0.667 0.400 1.000

Our current projections give the Tulsa Golden Hurricane a 3.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 10.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 86.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Tulsa’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 1.4%
NIT #4 Seed 2.0%
NIT #5 Seed 2.0%
NIT #6 Seed 2.6%
NIT #7 Seed 1.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Tulsa Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 352 Alcorn St Home W 73-56
11/10 340 S Carolina St Home W 74-52
11/16 239 Cal Baptist Home W 82-79
11/19 266 Ark Little Rock Home W 88-78
11/22 22 Nevada Neutral L 86-96
11/23 148 S Illinois Neutral L 69-79
11/27 209 UT Arlington Home W 72-58
12/1 119 Utah Away L 64-69
12/5 73 Oklahoma St Home W 74-71
12/8 30 Kansas St Home W 47-46
12/13 232 New Orleans Home W 70-60
12/16 70 Dayton Neutal W 72-67
12/22 271 Oral Roberts Away W 69-59
1/2 13 Houston Away L 56-74
1/5 131 South Florida Home W 78-75
1/10 32 Cincinnati Home L 65-70
1/12 121 SMU Away L 57-77
1/16 95 Connecticut Home W 89-83
1/19 46 UCF Away L 62-64
1/24 32 Cincinnati Away 11.7%
1/27 13 Houston Home 25.2%
1/30 76 Memphis Home 50.7%
2/2 115 Wichita St Away 39.9%
2/9 54 Temple Home 44.9%
2/14 311 Tulane Away 80.4%
2/17 212 East Carolina Away 64.1%
2/20 115 Wichita St Home 60.8%
2/23 54 Temple Away 21.3%
2/28 311 Tulane Home 92.6%
3/3 212 East Carolina Home 86.1%
3/9 76 Memphis Away 29.4%