Tulsa Golden Hurricane Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. All of these projections for Tulsa are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Tulsa Record and Rankings

Record: 18-14
Projected Final Record: 18.0-14.0

AAC Conference Record: 8-10
Projected Final AAC Record: 8.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the AAC: 7

Tulsa Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 107
RPI Rank: 106
NET Rank: 96
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-9 3-2 4-3 10-0
Win % by Tier 0.100 0.600 0.571 1.000

Our current projections give the Tulsa Golden Hurricane a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Tulsa’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.2%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Tulsa Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 346 Alcorn St Home W 73-56
11/10 342 S Carolina St Home W 74-52
11/16 204 Cal Baptist Home W 82-79
11/19 270 Ark Little Rock Home W 88-78
11/22 28 Nevada Neutral L 86-96
11/23 148 S Illinois Neutral L 69-79
11/27 147 UT Arlington Home W 72-58
12/1 96 Utah Away L 64-69
12/5 76 Oklahoma St Home W 74-71
12/8 20 Kansas St Home W 47-46
12/13 220 New Orleans Home W 70-60
12/16 81 Dayton Neutal W 72-67
12/22 292 Oral Roberts Away W 69-59
1/2 9 Houston Away L 56-74
1/5 122 South Florida Home W 78-75
1/10 24 Cincinnati Home L 65-70
1/12 110 SMU Away L 57-77
1/16 106 Connecticut Home W 89-83
1/19 35 UCF Away L 62-64
1/24 24 Cincinnati Away L 64-88
1/27 9 Houston Home L 65-77
1/30 58 Memphis Home W 95-79
2/2 74 Wichita St Away L 68-79
2/9 56 Temple Home W 76-58
2/14 313 Tulane Away W 80-57
2/17 253 East Carolina Away W 77-73
2/20 74 Wichita St Home L 60-81
2/23 56 Temple Away L 73-84
2/28 313 Tulane Home W 72-64
3/3 253 East Carolina Home W 91-78
3/9 58 Memphis Away L 63-66
3/14 110 SMU Neutral L 65-74