Tulsa Golden Hurricane Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. All of these projections for Tulsa are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Tulsa Record and Rankings

Record: 12-6
Projected Final Record: 18.2-12.8

AAC Conference Record: 2-3
Projected Final AAC Record: 8.2-9.8
Projected Final Rank in the AAC: 8

Tulsa Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 99
RPI Rank: 80
NET Rank: 104
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 2-1 2-3 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.667 0.400 1.000

Our current projections give the Tulsa Golden Hurricane a 3.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 12.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 84.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Tulsa’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.8%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 1.0%
NIT #4 Seed 1.6%
NIT #5 Seed 4.6%
NIT #6 Seed 3.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Tulsa Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 351 Alcorn St Home W 73-56
11/10 338 S Carolina St Home W 74-52
11/16 247 Cal Baptist Home W 82-79
11/19 248 Ark Little Rock Home W 88-78
11/22 20 Nevada Neutral L 86-96
11/23 148 S Illinois Neutral L 69-79
11/27 233 UT Arlington Home W 72-58
12/1 119 Utah Away L 64-69
12/5 74 Oklahoma St Home W 74-71
12/8 32 Kansas St Home W 47-46
12/13 208 New Orleans Home W 70-60
12/16 73 Dayton Neutal W 72-67
12/22 276 Oral Roberts Away W 69-59
1/2 13 Houston Away L 56-74
1/5 130 South Florida Home W 78-75
1/10 35 Cincinnati Home L 65-70
1/12 104 SMU Away L 57-77
1/16 94 Connecticut Home W 89-83
1/19 48 UCF Away 17%
1/24 35 Cincinnati Away 13.9%
1/27 13 Houston Home 29.7%
1/30 89 Memphis Home 55.9%
2/2 97 Wichita St Away 37.6%
2/9 40 Temple Home 42.9%
2/14 305 Tulane Away 74.8%
2/17 216 East Carolina Away 61.8%
2/20 97 Wichita St Home 58.8%
2/23 40 Temple Away 18.4%
2/28 305 Tulane Home 91.8%
3/3 216 East Carolina Home 85%
3/9 89 Memphis Away 34%