UAB Blazers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UAB Blazers. All of these projections for UAB are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

UAB Record and Rankings

Record: 20-14
Projected Final Record: 20.0-14.0

CUSA Conference Record: 10-8
Projected Final CUSA Record: 10.0-8.0
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 5

UAB Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 139
RPI Rank: 146
NET Rank: 135
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 4-5 4-2 10-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.444 0.667 0.714

Our current projections give the UAB Blazers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UAB’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UAB Blazers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UAB Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 214 Mercer Home W 75-67
11/14 220 New Orleans Home W 75-68
11/18 No Rank West Alabama Home W 77-47
11/22 10 Florida St Neutral L 63-81
11/23 109 Col Charleston Neutral L 51-74
11/25 259 Canisius Neutal W 68-58
11/29 348 Alabama A&M Away W 67-57
12/4 300 North Alabama Home W 73-67
12/8 58 Memphis Away L 76-94
12/15 16 Auburn Neutral L 71-75
12/18 346 Alcorn St Home W 76-49
12/21 243 Troy Home L 73-74
12/29 No Rank Ark Monticello Home W 75-67
1/3 177 FL Atlantic Home W 67-50
1/5 173 Florida Intl Home W 84-65
1/10 137 Louisiana Tech Away L 53-64
1/12 114 Southern Miss Away L 68-73
1/17 302 UTEP Home W 76-63
1/19 144 UT San Antonio Home W 83-73
1/24 164 North Texas Away W 52-49
1/26 237 Rice Away W 89-86
1/30 235 MTSU Away L 65-71
2/2 235 MTSU Home L 78-79
2/7 87 Old Dominion Home L 59-70
2/9 268 Charlotte Home L 62-69
2/14 142 Marshall Away W 77-68
2/16 105 WKU Away W 68-60
2/23 114 Southern Miss Away W 76-72
2/28 105 WKU Home L 67-73
3/3 144 UT San Antonio Away L 70-76
3/9 87 Old Dominion Home W 64-50
3/13 235 MTSU Neutal W 70-61
3/14 144 UT San Antonio Neutal W 85-76
3/15 87 Old Dominion Neutral L 59-61