UC Irvine Anteaters Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UC Irvine Anteaters. All of these projections for UC Irvine are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/10/2018.

UC Irvine Record and Rankings

Record: 9-2
Projected Final Record: 25.2-6.8

Big West Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big West Record: 12.9-3.1
Projected Final Rank in the Big West: 1

UC Irvine Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 85
RPI Rank: 71
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 13 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-2 4-0 3-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.333 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the UC Irvine Anteaters a 60.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 33.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 6.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UC Irvine’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 38.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 14.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 3.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.4%
NIT #2 Seed 1.2%
NIT #3 Seed 1.0%
NIT #4 Seed 3.6%
NIT #5 Seed 5.6%
NIT #6 Seed 12.4%
NIT #7 Seed 8.8%
NIT #8 Seed 0.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UC Irvine Anteaters. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UC Irvine Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 293 Idaho Home W 86-68
11/9 115 Texas A&M Away W 74-73
11/12 No Rank Life Pacific Home W 87-53
11/15 290 Santa Clara Away W 61-49
11/19 207 UT San Antonio Neutal W 65-56
11/20 227 Tulane Neutal W 67-55
11/21 71 Toledo Neutral L 60-67
11/28 69 St Mary’s CA Away W 80-75
12/1 41 Utah St Home L 65-89
12/5 204 Cal Baptist Away W 69-66
12/8 122 Montana Home W 60-51
12/15 289 Denver Home 95.1%
12/19 196 E Michigan Away 69.1%
12/21 37 Butler Away 19.4%
12/29 164 Pacific Away 61.5%
1/3 156 UTRGV Home 84.2%
1/10 249 UC Davis Home 92.6%
1/12 226 CS Fullerton Away 72.1%
1/16 205 Long Beach St Home 90.6%
1/19 291 CS Northridge Away 82.1%
1/23 166 Hawaii Away 61.5%
1/26 301 UC Riverside Home 93.8%
1/31 144 UC Santa Barbara Away 56.3%
2/2 205 Long Beach St Away 67.2%
2/6 226 CS Fullerton Home 90.3%
2/9 166 Hawaii Home 84.7%
2/16 144 UC Santa Barbara Home 80.4%
2/21 288 Cal Poly Home 93%
2/28 249 UC Davis Away 70.3%
3/2 301 UC Riverside Away 80.2%
3/7 288 Cal Poly Away 79.2%
3/9 291 CS Northridge Home 92.6%