UC Riverside Highlanders Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UC Riverside Highlanders. All of these projections for UC Riverside are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

UC Riverside Record and Rankings

Record: 10-23
Projected Final Record: 10.0-23.0

Big West Conference Record: 4-12
Projected Final Big West Record: 4.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big West: 8

UC Riverside Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 316
RPI Rank: 326
NET Rank: 314
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 2-9 5-10
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.182 0.333

Our current projections give the UC Riverside Highlanders a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UC Riverside’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UC Riverside Highlanders. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UC Riverside Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 91 Oregon St Away L 59-72
11/10 264 Portland St Away L 64-71
11/13 156 UNLV Away L 51-72
11/17 No Rank UC Merced Home W 63-53
11/22 199 Pacific Away L 54-74
11/23 288 Elon Neutal W 77-64
11/24 140 Abilene Chr Neutral L 48-60
11/29 204 Cal Baptist Home L 70-80
12/2 209 Valparaiso Away L 73-82
12/6 167 Pepperdine Home W 75-71
12/16 302 UTEP Away L 56-68
12/19 No Rank Life Pacific Home W 87-50
12/22 134 Loy Marymount Home W 60-53
12/28 222 Air Force Away L 60-72
12/30 282 W Michigan Away L 64-73
1/4 No Rank Bethesda Home W 112-47
1/9 269 CS Northridge Home L 83-84
1/12 176 UC Santa Barbara Away L 64-72
1/17 190 CS Fullerton Away L 61-69
1/19 186 Hawaii Home W 75-71
1/23 334 Cal Poly Away W 74-51
1/26 70 UC Irvine Away L 64-82
1/31 334 Cal Poly Home L 45-71
2/2 260 UC Davis Home L 71-84
2/9 190 CS Fullerton Home L 54-77
2/14 176 UC Santa Barbara Home W 71-57
2/16 186 Hawaii Away L 64-87
2/23 210 Long Beach St Home L 67-71
2/27 269 CS Northridge Away L 68-70
3/2 70 UC Irvine Home L 47-68
3/6 210 Long Beach St Away L 57-70
3/9 260 UC Davis Away W 71-70
3/14 70 UC Irvine Neutral L 44-63