UC Riverside Highlanders Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UC Riverside Highlanders. All of these projections for UC Riverside are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

UC Riverside Record and Rankings

Record: 6-12
Projected Final Record: 10.2-21.8

Big West Conference Record: 0-2
Projected Final Big West Record: 4.2-11.8
Projected Final Rank in the Big West: 8

UC Riverside Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 314
RPI Rank: 320
NET Rank: 299
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-1 1-5 2-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.167 0.286

Our current projections give the UC Riverside Highlanders a 0.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UC Riverside’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UC Riverside Highlanders. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UC Riverside Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 57 Oregon St Away L 59-72
11/10 289 Portland St Away L 64-71
11/13 165 UNLV Away L 51-72
11/17 No Rank UC Merced Home W 63-53
11/22 169 Pacific Away L 54-74
11/23 334 Elon Neutal W 77-64
11/24 140 Abilene Chr Neutral L 48-60
11/29 247 Cal Baptist Home L 70-80
12/2 175 Valparaiso Away L 73-82
12/6 182 Pepperdine Home W 75-71
12/16 269 UTEP Away L 56-68
12/19 No Rank Life Pacific Home W 87-50
12/22 143 Loy Marymount Home W 60-53
12/28 232 Air Force Away L 60-72
12/30 246 W Michigan Away L 64-73
1/4 No Rank Bethesda Home W 112-47
1/9 273 CS Northridge Home L 83-84
1/12 139 UC Santa Barbara Away L 64-72
1/17 254 CS Fullerton Away 18.9%
1/19 152 Hawaii Home 28.8%
1/23 333 Cal Poly Away 45.2%
1/26 112 UC Irvine Away 7%
1/31 333 Cal Poly Home 67.6%
2/2 274 UC Davis Home 45.6%
2/9 254 CS Fullerton Home 43.7%
2/14 139 UC Santa Barbara Home 28.8%
2/16 152 Hawaii Away 10.6%
2/23 180 Long Beach St Home 37.2%
2/27 273 CS Northridge Away 29%
3/2 112 UC Irvine Home 21.8%
3/6 180 Long Beach St Away 14.8%
3/9 274 UC Davis Away 23.8%