UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos. All of these projections for UC Santa Barbara are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

UC Santa Barbara Record and Rankings

Record: 22-10
Projected Final Record: 22.0-10.0

Big West Conference Record: 10-6
Projected Final Big West Record: 10.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big West: 2

UC Santa Barbara Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 176
RPI Rank: 157
NET Rank: 162
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-2 4-3 16-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.571 0.842

Our current projections give the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UC Santa Barbara’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UC Santa Barbara Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 315 Wyoming Away W 76-66
11/11 205 N Dakota St Away L 63-82
11/13 No Rank Cal Lutheran Home W 88-32
11/17 250 Montana St Home W 88-69
11/23 264 Portland St Neutal W 76-69
11/24 345 Idaho Neutal W 66-55
11/29 278 CS Sacramento Home W 75-58
12/2 42 Washington Away L 63-67
12/8 319 Ark Pine Bluff Home W 55-45
12/15 237 Rice Away W 99-89
12/19 168 NE Omaha Away L 74-85
12/22 318 Idaho St Home W 84-65
12/29 94 San Francisco Home W 73-71
1/2 No Rank Bethesda Home W 109-47
1/9 334 Cal Poly Home W 65-56
1/12 316 UC Riverside Home W 72-64
1/17 260 UC Davis Away W 69-58
1/24 190 CS Fullerton Away L 60-81
1/26 210 Long Beach St Away W 82-71
1/31 70 UC Irvine Home L 62-66
2/2 186 Hawaii Away W 75-54
2/6 269 CS Northridge Home W 70-64
2/9 260 UC Davis Home L 57-61
2/14 316 UC Riverside Away L 57-71
2/16 70 UC Irvine Away L 70-83
2/21 186 Hawaii Home W 79-61
2/23 190 CS Fullerton Home W 82-67
2/28 210 Long Beach St Home L 64-69
3/7 269 CS Northridge Away W 76-74
3/9 334 Cal Poly Away W 92-82
3/14 269 CS Northridge Neutal W 71-68
3/15 190 CS Fullerton Neutral L 58-64