UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos. All of these projections for UC Santa Barbara are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

UC Santa Barbara Record and Rankings

Record: 23-9
Projected Final Record: 23.0-9.0

Big West Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final Big West Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big West: 2

UC Santa Barbara Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 117
RPI Rank: 126
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 3-1 5-4 13-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.750 0.556 0.867

Our current projections give the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UC Santa Barbara’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UC Santa Barbara Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/11 194 N Dakota St Home W 85-66
11/15 217 Pittsburgh Away L 62-70
11/17 26 Texas A&M Away L 65-84
11/20 292 Pepperdine Away W 92-84
11/21 73 Montana Malibu, CA W 80-73
11/24 287 Prairie View Home W 69-66
11/28 147 San Francisco Away W 79-72
12/2 145 San Diego Home W 67-57
12/5 282 NE Omaha Home W 77-70
12/9 269 Montana St Away W 91-69
12/17 39 USC Away L 87-98
12/19 No Rank San Diego Chr Home W 87-69
12/23 300 CS Sacramento Away W 82-72
12/30 No Rank Pacific Union Home W 81-49
1/4 308 Cal Poly Away L 79-80
1/6 275 UC Riverside Home W 65-57
1/13 198 Hawaii Away L 76-77
1/17 144 CS Fullerton Home W 83-64
1/20 148 UC Irvine Home W 70-58
1/25 144 CS Fullerton Away W 70-65
1/27 275 UC Riverside Away W 76-69
2/1 198 Hawaii Home W 84-82
2/3 330 CS Northridge Home W 75-51
2/8 126 UC Davis Away W 90-81
2/15 185 Long Beach St Away W 80-70
2/17 126 UC Davis Home L 54-71
2/22 148 UC Irvine Away L 49-69
2/24 330 CS Northridge Away W 82-73
3/1 185 Long Beach St Home L 69-70
3/3 308 Cal Poly Home W 86-61
3/8 308 Cal Poly Anaheim, CA W 75-53
3/9 148 UC Irvine Anaheim, CA L 58-61