UCLA Bruins Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the UCLA Bruins. All of these projections for UCLA are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

UCLA Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 20.1-9.9

Pac-12 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Pac-12 Record: 10.9-7.1
Projected Final Rank in the Pac-12: 3

UCLA Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 42
RPI Rank: 75
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 7 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 2-0 0-0 0-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the UCLA Bruins a 85.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 4.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 10.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UCLA’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 12.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 27.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 15.8%
NCAA #7 Seed 9.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 8.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 4.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.4%
NIT #2 Seed 0.8%
NIT #3 Seed 0.2%
NIT #4 Seed 1.0%
NIT #5 Seed 1.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UCLA Bruins. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UCLA Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank PFW Home W 96-71
11/9 206 Long Beach St Home W 91-80
11/16 202 St Francis PA Home 93%
11/19 250 Presbyterian Home 96.4%
11/22 12 Michigan St Neutal 29.8%
11/28 198 Hawaii Home 93%
12/2 155 Loy Marymount Home 91.8%
12/8 41 Notre Dame Home 61.8%
12/15 101 Belmont Home 83.5%
12/19 52 Cincinnati Away 46.7%
12/22 8 Ohio St Neutal 29.3%
12/29 159 Liberty Home 91.1%
1/3 66 Stanford Home 73.3%
1/5 282 California Home 98.6%
1/10 15 Oregon Away 15.8%
1/13 85 Oregon St Away 54%
1/19 63 USC Away 43.1%
1/24 56 Arizona St Home 62.8%
1/26 24 Arizona Home 56.9%
1/30 142 Washington St Away 69.1%
2/2 55 Washington Away 41.2%
2/6 108 Colorado Home 85%
2/9 43 Utah Home 64.5%
2/13 282 California Away 91.8%
2/16 66 Stanford Away 48.2%
2/21 85 Oregon St Home 79.9%
2/23 15 Oregon Home 41.5%
2/28 63 USC Home 66.4%
3/7 108 Colorado Away 59.8%
3/9 43 Utah Away 41.8%