UMass Lowell Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UMass Lowell. All of these projections for MA Lowell are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

MA Lowell Record and Rankings

Record: 10-9
Projected Final Record: 16.4-14.6

America East Conference Record: 2-2
Projected Final America East Record: 8.4-7.6
Projected Final Rank in the America East: 4

MA Lowell Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 218
RPI Rank: 202
NET Rank: 234
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-3 2-4 6-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.333 0.750

Our current projections give the UMass Lowell a 4.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 96.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account MA Lowell’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 4.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UMass Lowell. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

MA Lowell Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 195 Massachusetts Away L 75-83
11/10 204 Wagner Home W 88-84
11/13 217 Central Conn Away L 74-86
11/16 133 Brown Away L 74-82
11/17 253 Army Neutal W 92-85
11/18 235 Sacred Heart Neutal W 94-90
11/23 No Rank MA Boston Home W 88-59
11/25 141 Duquesne Away L 71-83
11/27 94 Connecticut Away L 75-97
12/1 153 NJIT Home W 94-71
12/4 237 Boston Univ Away L 60-79
12/7 No Rank ME Ft Kent Home W 110-63
12/11 234 St Francis NY Away L 69-75
12/21 302 Loyola MD Home W 97-79
12/29 235 Sacred Heart Away W 100-91
1/5 102 Stony Brook Home L 63-75
1/9 345 New Hampshire Away L 64-68
1/12 263 UMBC Home W 74-63
1/16 304 Albany NY Home W 84-72
1/19 190 Hartford Away 34%
1/23 336 Binghamton Away 63.4%
1/30 321 Maine Home 84.5%
2/2 80 Vermont Home 33.6%
2/6 345 New Hampshire Home 92%
2/9 102 Stony Brook Away 14.8%
2/13 304 Albany NY Away 55.9%
2/16 263 UMBC Away 45.6%
2/21 336 Binghamton Home 86.4%
2/23 190 Hartford Home 56.9%
2/27 321 Maine Away 58.5%
3/5 80 Vermont Away 12.7%