UMass Lowell Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UMass Lowell. All of these projections for MA Lowell are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

MA Lowell Record and Rankings

Record: 15-17
Projected Final Record: 15.0-17.0

America East Conference Record: 7-9
Projected Final America East Record: 7.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the America East: 5

MA Lowell Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 274
RPI Rank: 251
NET Rank: 258
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 2-7 11-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.222 0.647

Our current projections give the UMass Lowell a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account MA Lowell’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UMass Lowell. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

MA Lowell Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 239 Massachusetts Away L 75-83
11/10 299 Wagner Home W 88-84
11/13 322 Central Conn Away L 74-86
11/16 145 Brown Away L 74-82
11/17 251 Army Neutal W 92-85
11/18 262 Sacred Heart Neutal W 94-90
11/23 No Rank MA Boston Home W 88-59
11/25 160 Duquesne Away L 71-83
11/27 106 Connecticut Away L 75-97
12/1 174 NJIT Home W 94-71
12/4 241 Boston Univ Away L 60-79
12/7 No Rank ME Ft Kent Home W 110-63
12/11 272 St Francis NY Away L 69-75
12/21 279 Loyola MD Home W 97-79
12/29 262 Sacred Heart Away W 100-91
1/5 157 Stony Brook Home L 63-75
1/9 341 New Hampshire Away L 64-68
1/12 206 UMBC Home W 74-63
1/16 281 Albany NY Home W 84-72
1/19 197 Hartford Away W 76-73
1/23 321 Binghamton Away W 85-79
1/30 336 Maine Home L 59-78
2/2 85 Vermont Home L 65-74
2/6 341 New Hampshire Home W 72-62
2/9 157 Stony Brook Away L 65-76
2/13 281 Albany NY Away W 86-54
2/16 206 UMBC Away L 66-70
2/21 321 Binghamton Home L 66-81
2/23 197 Hartford Home L 73-75
2/27 336 Maine Away W 70-61
3/5 85 Vermont Away L 57-74
3/9 197 Hartford Away L 70-78