UNC Asheville Bulldogs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UNC Asheville Bulldogs. All of these projections for UNC Asheville are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

UNC Asheville Record and Rankings

Record: 4-27
Projected Final Record: 4.0-27.0

Big South Conference Record: 2-14
Projected Final Big South Record: 2.0-14.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big South: 10

UNC Asheville Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 349
RPI Rank: 346
NET Rank: 350
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-4 0-8 2-12
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.143

Our current projections give the UNC Asheville Bulldogs a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UNC Asheville’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UNC Asheville Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UNC Asheville Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/8 No Rank St Andrew’s Home W 87-47
11/13 33 NC State Away L 49-100
11/16 113 N Kentucky Away L 50-77
11/17 183 Coastal Car Neutral L 52-78
11/18 307 Manhattan Neutral L 38-54
11/25 59 Furman Home L 51-65
12/1 283 TN Martin Away L 70-87
12/4 16 Auburn Away L 41-67
12/8 289 W Carolina Home L 59-71
12/15 14 Wofford Away L 49-92
12/18 333 Stetson Away L 74-80
12/21 No Rank Milligan Home W 86-76
12/29 No Rank Fayetteville St Home L 63-80
12/31 161 Vanderbilt Away L 59-90
1/5 184 Winthrop Home L 65-80
1/10 295 Longwood Away L 62-67
1/12 226 Hampton Away L 61-83
1/16 185 Campbell Home L 53-70
1/19 141 Radford Home L 63-71
1/21 184 Winthrop Away L 45-66
1/26 229 High Point Away L 61-65
1/30 344 SC Upstate Home W 71-62
2/2 163 Gardner Webb Away L 81-82
2/7 227 Presbyterian Away L 44-67
2/9 193 Charleston So Home L 75-85
2/13 344 SC Upstate Away W 57-53
2/21 163 Gardner Webb Home L 55-65
2/23 227 Presbyterian Home L 55-71
2/27 193 Charleston So Away L 48-77
3/2 229 High Point Home L 74-79
3/5 227 Presbyterian Away L 59-106