UNC Asheville Bulldogs Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the UNC Asheville Bulldogs. All of these projections for UNC Asheville are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

UNC Asheville Record and Rankings

Record: 21-13
Projected Final Record: 21.0-13.0

Big South Conference Record: 14-6
Projected Final Big South Record: 14.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big South: 1

UNC Asheville Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 180
RPI Rank: 129
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-3 0-3 4-1 14-5
Win % by Tier 0.250 0.000 0.800 0.737

Our current projections give the UNC Asheville Bulldogs a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UNC Asheville’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 14.6%
NIT #8 Seed 85.4%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UNC Asheville Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UNC Asheville Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 44 Rhode Island Away L 60-84
11/13 No Rank Lees-McRae Home W 92-60
11/17 86 Vanderbilt Away L 76-79
11/19 184 Austin Peay Away W 82-79
11/22 214 Monmouth NJ Home W 62-51
11/26 132 Wofford Home W 85-65
11/29 340 SC Upstate Home W 82-70
12/3 20 Clemson Away L 52-83
12/5 104 Furman Away L 72-83
12/10 No Rank Milligan Home W 97-60
12/17 260 W Carolina Asheville, NC L 72-76
12/19 76 UNC Greensboro Away W 67-60
12/22 43 St Mary’s CA Away L 69-95
12/30 241 Campbell Home W 85-79
1/3 257 High Point Away L 74-84
1/6 173 Radford Away L 70-90
1/9 333 Longwood Home W 90-80
1/12 328 Presbyterian Away W 76-56
1/15 245 Charleston So Home W 83-73
1/18 171 Winthrop Away L 58-85
1/21 196 Liberty Away W 84-68
1/24 263 Gardner Webb Home W 65-60
1/27 257 High Point Home W 84-77
2/1 241 Campbell Away W 64-57
2/3 328 Presbyterian Home W 75-61
2/7 333 Longwood Away W 78-73
2/10 173 Radford Home W 66-64
2/15 196 Liberty Home L 69-82
2/18 245 Charleston So Away W 85-80
2/22 171 Winthrop Home W 89-75
2/24 263 Gardner Webb Away L 61-72
3/1 245 Charleston So Home W 71-66
3/2 196 Liberty Home L 64-69
3/13 39 USC Away L 98-103