UNC Asheville Bulldogs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UNC Asheville Bulldogs. All of these projections for UNC Asheville are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

UNC Asheville Record and Rankings

Record: 2-16
Projected Final Record: 3.0-27.0

Big South Conference Record: 0-4
Projected Final Big South Record: 1.0-15.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big South: 11

UNC Asheville Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 353
RPI Rank: 353
NET Rank: 353
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-3 0-2 0-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the UNC Asheville Bulldogs a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UNC Asheville’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UNC Asheville Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UNC Asheville Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/8 No Rank St Andrew’s Home W 87-47
11/13 36 NC State Away L 49-100
11/16 109 N Kentucky Away L 50-77
11/17 229 Coastal Car Neutral L 52-78
11/18 339 Manhattan Neutral L 38-54
11/25 66 Furman Home L 51-65
12/1 322 TN Martin Away L 70-87
12/4 16 Auburn Away L 41-67
12/8 262 W Carolina Home L 59-71
12/15 37 Wofford Away L 49-92
12/18 347 Stetson Away L 74-80
12/21 No Rank Milligan Home W 86-76
12/29 No Rank Fayetteville St Home L 63-80
12/31 106 Vanderbilt Away L 59-90
1/5 161 Winthrop Home L 65-80
1/10 221 Longwood Away L 62-67
1/12 293 Hampton Away L 61-83
1/16 227 Campbell Home L 53-70
1/19 118 Radford Home 6.3%
1/21 161 Winthrop Away 1.3%
1/26 209 High Point Away 1.6%
1/30 328 SC Upstate Home 24.3%
2/2 168 Gardner Webb Away 1.4%
2/7 225 Presbyterian Away 2.9%
2/9 275 Charleston So Home 16.7%
2/13 328 SC Upstate Away 8.9%
2/21 168 Gardner Webb Home 7.6%
2/23 225 Presbyterian Home 11.4%
2/27 275 Charleston So Away 7%
3/2 209 High Point Home 10.6%