UNC Greensboro Spartans Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the UNC Greensboro Spartans. All of these projections for UNC Greensboro are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

UNC Greensboro Record and Rankings

Record: 22-7
Projected Final Record: 23.8-7.2

Southern Conference Record: 13-3
Projected Final Southern Record: 14.8-3.2
Projected Final Rank in the Southern: 2

UNC Greensboro Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 92
RPI Rank: 73
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-1 2-2 5-2 11-2
Win % by Tier 0.500 0.500 0.714 0.846

Our current projections give the UNC Greensboro Spartans a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 1.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UNC Greensboro’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.8%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UNC Greensboro Spartans. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UNC Greensboro Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 1 Virginia Away L 48-60
11/15 No Rank NC Wesleyan Home W 82-48
11/17 No Rank Ferrum Home W 95-43
11/20 238 Delaware Home W 79-66
11/21 336 Longwood Home W 71-40
11/24 106 Wake Forest Away L 75-81
11/28 317 Presbyterian Away L 72-74
12/2 199 Liberty Away W 76-75
12/7 207 Elon Home W 75-44
12/13 246 UNC Wilmington Home W 71-58
12/16 44 NC State Away W 81-76
12/19 173 UNC Asheville Home L 60-67
12/21 No Rank Southeastern FL Home W 85-67
12/30 134 Wofford Home W 71-67
1/6 313 VMI Away W 63-61
1/11 67 ETSU Away L 58-68
1/13 251 W Carolina Away W 66-55
1/18 304 Citadel Home W 72-58
1/20 171 Mercer Home W 70-66
1/24 111 Furman Home W 71-61
1/27 294 Samford Away W 98-82
1/29 300 Chattanooga Away L 85-87
2/1 313 VMI Home W 73-51
2/7 111 Furman Away W 80-67
2/10 251 W Carolina Home W 65-48
2/12 67 ETSU Home W 74-56
2/15 304 Citadel Away W 82-66
2/17 171 Mercer Away L 74-77
2/20 134 Wofford Away W 76-66
2/23 300 Chattanooga Home 92.2%
2/25 294 Samford Home 92.2%