UNC Greensboro Spartans Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the UNC Greensboro Spartans. All of these projections for UNC Greensboro are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

UNC Greensboro Record and Rankings

Record: 27-8
Projected Final Record: 27.0-8.0

Southern Conference Record: 18-3
Projected Final Southern Record: 18.0-3.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southern: 1

UNC Greensboro Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 76
RPI Rank: 65
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 13 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-1 3-1 6-3 14-2
Win % by Tier 0.500 0.750 0.667 0.875

Our current projections give the UNC Greensboro Spartans a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UNC Greensboro’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 99.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UNC Greensboro Spartans. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UNC Greensboro Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 1 Virginia Away L 48-60
11/15 No Rank NC Wesleyan Home W 82-48
11/17 No Rank Ferrum Home W 95-43
11/20 228 Delaware Home W 79-66
11/21 333 Longwood Home W 71-40
11/24 115 Wake Forest Away L 75-81
11/28 328 Presbyterian Away L 72-74
12/2 196 Liberty Away W 76-75
12/7 227 Elon Home W 75-44
12/13 231 UNC Wilmington Home W 71-58
12/16 38 NC State Away W 81-76
12/19 180 UNC Asheville Home L 60-67
12/21 No Rank Southeastern FL Home W 85-67
12/30 132 Wofford Home W 71-67
1/6 318 VMI Away W 63-61
1/11 101 ETSU Away L 58-68
1/13 260 W Carolina Away W 66-55
1/18 294 Citadel Home W 72-58
1/20 156 Mercer Home W 70-66
1/24 104 Furman Home W 71-61
1/27 291 Samford Away W 98-82
1/29 296 Chattanooga Away L 85-87
2/1 318 VMI Home W 73-51
2/7 104 Furman Away W 80-67
2/10 260 W Carolina Home W 65-48
2/12 101 ETSU Home W 74-56
2/15 294 Citadel Away W 82-66
2/17 156 Mercer Away L 74-77
2/20 132 Wofford Away W 76-66
2/23 296 Chattanooga Home W 72-51
2/25 291 Samford Home W 88-75
3/3 294 Citadel Asheville, NC W 72-58
3/4 132 Wofford Asheville, NC W 56-55
3/5 101 ETSU Asheville, NC W 62-47
3/15 11 Gonzaga NCAA Tournament Boise ID L 64-68