UNC Greensboro Spartans Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the UNC Greensboro Spartans. All of these projections for UNC Greensboro are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

UNC Greensboro Record and Rankings

Record: 1-1
Projected Final Record: 23.5-7.5

Southern Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Southern Record: 13.8-4.2
Projected Final Rank in the Southern: 2

UNC Greensboro Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 68
RPI Rank: 128
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the UNC Greensboro Spartans a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UNC Greensboro’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 19.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 45.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 27.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 6.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UNC Greensboro Spartans. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UNC Greensboro Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 287 NC A&T Away W 74-66
11/9 51 LSU Away L 91-97
11/13 234 UNC Wilmington Away 80.9%
11/16 No Rank J&W NC Home 99.3%
11/19 181 Prairie View Home 86.8%
11/23 173 Delaware Away 70.3%
11/24 81 Louisiana Tech Neutal 58.1%
11/27 No Rank Greensboro Home 99.3%
12/1 11 Kentucky Away 12.2%
12/7 224 Elon Away 81.6%
12/12 349 Coppin St Home 99.4%
12/15 No Rank North Alabama Home 99.3%
12/18 118 Radford Home 81.8%
12/22 162 Samford Away 64.5%
12/29 241 Chattanooga Home 92.2%
1/5 327 VMI Away 93.8%
1/10 120 Wofford Home 79.9%
1/12 40 Furman Home 47.4%
1/17 276 W Carolina Away 90.3%
1/19 119 ETSU Away 58.8%
1/24 253 Citadel Home 93%
1/26 130 Mercer Home 82.6%
1/31 327 VMI Home 98.7%
2/7 162 Samford Home 83.5%
2/9 241 Chattanooga Away 81.6%
2/14 40 Furman Away 30.1%
2/16 120 Wofford Away 59.5%
2/21 276 W Carolina Home 96.4%
2/23 119 ETSU Home 79.4%
2/28 253 Citadel Away 83.8%
3/2 130 Mercer Away 62.8%