UNC Greensboro Spartans Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UNC Greensboro Spartans. All of these projections for UNC Greensboro are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

UNC Greensboro Record and Rankings

Record: 17-3
Projected Final Record: 25.2-5.8

Southern Conference Record: 6-1
Projected Final Southern Record: 14.2-3.8
Projected Final Rank in the Southern: 2

UNC Greensboro Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 53
RPI Rank: 41
NET Rank: 62
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 3-1 5-0 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.750 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the UNC Greensboro Spartans a 21.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 55.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 22.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UNC Greensboro’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 3.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 10.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #14 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 5.0%
NIT #2 Seed 12.4%
NIT #3 Seed 16.4%
NIT #4 Seed 9.6%
NIT #5 Seed 7.2%
NIT #6 Seed 4.0%
NIT #7 Seed 1.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UNC Greensboro Spartans. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UNC Greensboro Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 256 NC A&T Away W 74-66
11/9 16 LSU Away L 91-97
11/13 220 UNC Wilmington Away W 82-61
11/16 No Rank J&W NC Home W 105-57
11/19 270 Prairie View Home W 74-66
11/23 203 Delaware Away W 84-65
11/24 136 Louisiana Tech Neutal W 80-73
11/27 No Rank Greensboro Home W 111-33
12/1 8 Kentucky Away L 61-78
12/7 315 Elon Away W 75-74
12/12 344 Coppin St Home W 77-54
12/15 290 North Alabama Home W 53-48
12/18 108 Radford Home W 65-58
12/22 174 Samford Away W 83-75
12/29 241 Chattanooga Home W 85-72
1/5 294 VMI Away W 71-68
1/10 35 Wofford Home L 43-72
1/12 68 Furman Home W 89-79
1/17 281 W Carolina Away W 69-60
1/19 81 ETSU Away W 75-68
1/24 211 Citadel Home 92%
1/26 194 Mercer Home 88.9%
1/31 294 VMI Home 95.7%
2/7 174 Samford Home 85.2%
2/9 241 Chattanooga Away 81.6%
2/14 68 Furman Away 44.5%
2/16 35 Wofford Away 28.2%
2/21 281 W Carolina Home 93%
2/24 81 ETSU Home 63.1%
2/28 211 Citadel Away 74.8%
3/2 194 Mercer Away 68.3%