UNC Wilmington Seahawks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UNC Wilmington Seahawks. All of these projections for UNC Wilmington are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

UNC Wilmington Record and Rankings

Record: 10-23
Projected Final Record: 10.0-23.0

Colonial Conference Record: 5-13
Projected Final Colonial Record: 5.0-13.0
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 10

UNC Wilmington Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 273
RPI Rank: 263
NET Rank: 264
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-6 1-4 0-7 8-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.200 0.000 0.571

Our current projections give the UNC Wilmington Seahawks a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UNC Wilmington’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UNC Wilmington Seahawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UNC Wilmington Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 185 Campbell Away L 93-97
11/9 135 Stanford Home L 59-72
11/13 51 UNC Greensboro Home L 61-82
11/18 No Rank Allen Home W 113-74
11/23 244 Arkansas St Neutal W 78-64
11/24 163 Gardner Webb Neutral L 72-81
11/25 294 E Illinois Neutal W 82-65
11/27 253 East Carolina Home W 95-86
12/1 75 Davidson Home L 85-91
12/5 4 North Carolina Away L 69-97
12/15 59 Furman Away L 50-93
12/19 93 Georgia St Away L 71-86
12/21 214 Mercer Away L 73-77
12/29 109 Col Charleston Home L 66-73
1/3 257 James Madison Away W 86-83
1/5 284 Towson Away W 67-61
1/10 231 Delaware Home L 69-82
1/12 238 Drexel Home W 97-83
1/17 95 Hofstra Away L 72-87
1/19 79 Northeastern Away L 71-88
1/24 196 William & Mary Home W 93-88
1/26 288 Elon Home L 82-89
1/31 284 Towson Home L 76-77
2/2 257 James Madison Home L 95-104
2/7 238 Drexel Away L 57-69
2/9 231 Delaware Away L 66-70
2/14 79 Northeastern Home L 77-81
2/16 95 Hofstra Home W 87-79
2/21 288 Elon Away L 77-84
2/23 196 William & Mary Away L 63-71
3/2 109 Col Charleston Away L 61-70
3/9 288 Elon Neutal W 93-86
3/10 79 Northeastern Neutral L 59-80