University of Illinois at Chicago Flames Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the University of Illinois at Chicago Flames. All of these projections for IL Chicago are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

IL Chicago Record and Rankings

Record: 9-9
Projected Final Record: 15.9-15.1

Horizon Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final Horizon Record: 9.9-8.1
Projected Final Rank in the Horizon: 4

IL Chicago Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 198
RPI Rank: 219
NET Rank: 199
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-4 1-3 6-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.250 0.857

Our current projections give the University of Illinois at Chicago Flames a 8.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 91.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account IL Chicago’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 6.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the University of Illinois at Chicago Flames. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

IL Chicago Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 78 Notre Dame Away L 67-84
11/9 118 Radford Away L 78-88
11/12 141 Duquesne Away L 88-89
11/15 205 William & Mary Home W 100-95
11/17 219 Bradley Home W 71-70
11/24 No Rank WI Parkside Home W 94-74
11/28 164 St Joseph’s PA Away L 75-89
12/1 111 Loyola-Chicago Home L 64-73
12/5 172 Illinois St Home W 94-75
12/8 108 Colorado Away L 72-84
12/14 100 DePaul Away L 70-90
12/17 337 Incarnate Word Home W 63-57
12/21 No Rank St Francis IL Home W 76-55
12/28 174 Wright St Away W 75-72
12/30 109 N Kentucky Away L 58-73
1/4 201 IUPUI Home L 64-66
1/10 295 Youngstown St Home W 78-63
1/12 300 Cleveland St Home W 73-56
1/17 288 WI Milwaukee Away 58.5%
1/19 197 WI Green Bay Away 42.5%
1/24 181 Detroit Home 57.5%
1/26 223 Oakland Home 63.8%
2/1 174 Wright St Home 48.2%
2/3 109 N Kentucky Home 39.2%
2/9 201 IUPUI Away 39.9%
2/14 300 Cleveland St Away 59.2%
2/16 295 Youngstown St Away 58.5%
2/22 197 WI Green Bay Home 60.8%
2/24 288 WI Milwaukee Home 79.9%
2/28 223 Oakland Away 43.7%
3/2 181 Detroit Away 38.5%