University of Texas Arlington Mavericks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the University of Texas Arlington Mavericks. All of these projections for UT Arlington are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

UT Arlington Record and Rankings

Record: 17-16
Projected Final Record: 17.0-16.0

Sun Belt Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 2

UT Arlington Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 147
RPI Rank: 149
NET Rank: 164
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 3-5 3-5 10-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.375 0.375 0.833

Our current projections give the University of Texas Arlington Mavericks a 39.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 60.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UT Arlington’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 5.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 33.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the University of Texas Arlington Mavericks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UT Arlington Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank UT Tyler Home W 90-66
11/10 169 Northern Iowa Home W 74-65
11/16 280 TAM C. Christi Home L 67-73
11/18 260 UC Davis Home W 68-59
11/20 45 Indiana Away L 64-78
11/23 63 Arkansas Away L 60-78
11/27 107 Tulsa Away L 58-72
12/1 162 UTRGV Home L 65-76
12/4 73 Missouri Away L 45-65
12/8 164 North Texas Away L 61-63
12/18 7 Gonzaga Away L 55-89
12/21 334 Cal Poly Away W 75-70
12/28 40 Texas Away L 56-76
1/3 93 Georgia St Home L 58-63
1/5 118 Ga Southern Home L 64-77
1/10 228 Appalachian St Away W 82-72
1/12 183 Coastal Car Away W 61-58
1/17 244 Arkansas St Home W 68-59
1/19 270 Ark Little Rock Home W 82-73
1/24 118 Ga Southern Away W 72-67
1/26 93 Georgia St Away L 71-77
2/2 128 Texas St Away W 84-77
2/7 183 Coastal Car Home W 74-54
2/9 228 Appalachian St Home W 78-68
2/14 270 Ark Little Rock Away L 52-56
2/16 244 Arkansas St Away L 79-83
2/21 170 Louisiana Home L 64-76
2/23 165 ULM Home W 91-86
2/28 207 South Alabama Away W 75-57
3/2 243 Troy Away W 79-66
3/9 128 Texas St Home W 81-73
3/16 118 Ga Southern Neutal W 67-58
3/17 93 Georgia St Neutral L 64-73