Utah Utes Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Utah Utes. All of these projections for Utah are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Utah Record and Rankings

Record: 1-0
Projected Final Record: 17.6-10.4

Pac-12 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Pac-12 Record: 10.2-7.8
Projected Final Rank in the Pac-12: 6

Utah Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 43
RPI Rank: 189
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Utah Utes a 7.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 36.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 56.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Utah’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.6%
NIT #2 Seed 3.0%
NIT #3 Seed 9.4%
NIT #4 Seed 11.4%
NIT #5 Seed 10.4%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Utah Utes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Utah Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/8 332 Maine Home W 75-61
11/12 109 Minnesota Away 56.1%
11/15 330 MS Valley St Home 98.7%
11/22 198 Hawaii Neutal 87.2%
12/1 107 Tulsa Home 83.5%
12/8 93 BYU Neutal 65.4%
12/15 11 Kentucky Away 12.7%
12/17 294 Florida A&M Home 98.5%
12/21 321 Northern Arizona Home 98.9%
12/29 16 Nevada Home 40.5%
1/3 56 Arizona St Away 36.9%
1/5 24 Arizona Away 28.2%
1/10 55 Washington Home 60.8%
1/12 142 Washington St Home 89.7%
1/20 108 Colorado Home 83.5%
1/24 66 Stanford Away 43.9%
1/26 282 California Away 91.7%
1/31 15 Oregon Home 39.5%
2/2 85 Oregon St Home 76.2%
2/6 63 USC Away 40.2%
2/9 42 UCLA Away 35.5%
2/14 24 Arizona Home 52.9%
2/16 56 Arizona St Home 59.8%
2/20 55 Washington Away 37.9%
2/23 142 Washington St Away 66.4%
3/2 108 Colorado Away 57.5%
3/7 63 USC Home 63.1%
3/9 42 UCLA Home 58.2%