Utah Utes Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Utah Utes. All of these projections for Utah are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Utah Record and Rankings

Record: 8-8
Projected Final Record: 14.5-15.5

Pac-12 Conference Record: 2-2
Projected Final Pac-12 Record: 8.5-9.5
Projected Final Rank in the Pac-12: 8

Utah Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 119
RPI Rank: 143
NET Rank: 111
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-4 0-1 2-3 5-0
Win % by Tier 0.200 0.000 0.400 1.000

Our current projections give the Utah Utes a 3.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 4.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 91.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Utah’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.8%
NIT #3 Seed 1.2%
NIT #4 Seed 0.2%
NIT #5 Seed 0.8%
NIT #6 Seed 1.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Utah Utes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Utah Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/8 326 Maine Home W 75-61
11/12 43 Minnesota Away L 69-78
11/15 349 MS Valley St Home W 98-63
11/22 170 Hawaii Neutral L 79-90
11/23 101 Grand Canyon Neutal W 75-66
11/25 61 Northwestern Neutral L 57-79
12/1 104 Tulsa Home W 69-64
12/8 112 BYU Neutral L 59-74
12/15 8 Kentucky Away L 61-88
12/17 334 Florida A&M Home W 93-64
12/21 296 Northern Arizona Home W 76-62
12/29 22 Nevada Home L 71-86
1/3 59 Arizona St Away W 96-86
1/5 51 Arizona Away L 81-84
1/10 37 Washington Home L 53-69
1/12 208 Washington St Home W 88-70
1/20 113 Colorado Home 58.8%
1/24 130 Stanford Away 43.1%
1/26 255 California Away 70.3%
1/31 79 Oregon Home 47.8%
2/2 67 Oregon St Home 47.1%
2/6 109 USC Away 36.9%
2/9 96 UCLA Away 34.4%
2/14 51 Arizona Home 41.8%
2/16 59 Arizona St Home 43.9%
2/20 37 Washington Away 14.8%
2/23 208 Washington St Away 60.8%
3/2 113 Colorado Away 36.9%
3/7 109 USC Home 59.2%
3/9 96 UCLA Home 57.3%