Utah Utes Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Utah Utes. All of these projections for Utah are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Utah Record and Rankings

Record: 17-14
Projected Final Record: 17.0-14.0

Pac-12 Conference Record: 11-7
Projected Final Pac-12 Record: 11.0-7.0
Projected Final Rank in the Pac-12: 3

Utah Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 96
RPI Rank: 113
NET Rank: 104
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-6 1-5 8-2 7-1
Win % by Tier 0.143 0.167 0.800 0.875

Our current projections give the Utah Utes a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 1.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 98.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Utah’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.8%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Utah Utes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Utah Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/8 336 Maine Home W 75-61
11/12 32 Minnesota Away L 69-78
11/15 350 MS Valley St Home W 98-63
11/22 186 Hawaii Neutral L 79-90
11/23 123 Grand Canyon Neutal W 75-66
11/25 97 Northwestern Neutral L 57-79
12/1 107 Tulsa Home W 69-64
12/8 90 BYU Neutral L 59-74
12/15 5 Kentucky Away L 61-88
12/17 326 Florida A&M Home W 93-64
12/21 304 Northern Arizona Home W 76-62
12/29 28 Nevada Home L 71-86
1/3 62 Arizona St Away W 96-86
1/5 108 Arizona Away L 81-84
1/10 42 Washington Home L 53-69
1/12 200 Washington St Home W 88-70
1/20 80 Colorado Home W 78-69
1/24 135 Stanford Away W 70-66
1/26 230 California Away W 82-64
1/31 57 Oregon Home L 72-78
2/2 91 Oregon St Home L 72-81
2/6 120 USC Away W 77-70
2/9 116 UCLA Away W 93-92
2/14 108 Arizona Home W 83-76
2/16 62 Arizona St Home L 87-98
2/20 42 Washington Away L 45-62
2/23 200 Washington St Away W 92-79
3/2 80 Colorado Away L 63-71
3/7 120 USC Home W 83-74
3/9 116 UCLA Home W 92-81
3/14 57 Oregon Neutral L 54-66