Utah Valley Wolverines Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Utah Valley Wolverines. All of these projections for Utah Valley are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Utah Valley Record and Rankings

Record: 12-6
Projected Final Record: 21.1-9.9

WAC Conference Record: 1-2
Projected Final WAC Record: 10.1-5.9
Projected Final Rank in the WAC: 3

Utah Valley Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 103
RPI Rank: 66
NET Rank: 130
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 1-4 3-0 6-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.200 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Utah Valley Wolverines a 20.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 4.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 75.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Utah Valley’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 7.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 8.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 2.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 0.6%
NIT #4 Seed 0.8%
NIT #5 Seed 0.4%
NIT #6 Seed 1.8%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Utah Valley Wolverines. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Utah Valley Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Westminster UT Home W 96-71
11/9 116 BYU Away L 65-75
11/11 64 St Mary’s CA Away L 63-92
11/16 56 Utah St Away L 46-65
11/19 190 Hartford Neutal W 72-65
11/21 180 Long Beach St Neutal W 87-72
11/24 296 North Dakota Home W 74-68
11/28 No Rank Western St CO Home W 82-59
12/1 301 Denver Home W 98-75
12/6 44 Arizona Away L 69-80
12/8 287 Northern Arizona Away W 98-78
12/15 177 Weber St Away W 75-63
12/19 244 Idaho St Home W 88-77
12/22 184 Sam Houston St Home W 85-79
12/29 59 Fresno St Away W 64-60
1/3 105 Grand Canyon Away L 60-71
1/5 146 CS Bakersfield Away L 71-73
1/12 157 Seattle Home W 88-78
1/17 206 UTRGV Home 85%
1/19 92 New Mexico St Home 57.3%
1/24 243 Missouri KC Away 66%
1/26 343 Chicago St Away 91.7%
1/30 247 Cal Baptist Home 87.8%
2/9 157 Seattle Away 49.3%
2/14 92 New Mexico St Away 36.2%
2/16 206 UTRGV Away 59.8%
2/21 343 Chicago St Home 97.7%
2/23 243 Missouri KC Home 86.8%
3/2 247 Cal Baptist Away 63.4%
3/7 105 Grand Canyon Home 59.2%
3/9 146 CS Bakersfield Home 73.8%