UTEP Miners Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the UTEP Miners. All of these projections for UTEP are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

UTEP Record and Rankings

Record: 6-9
Projected Final Record: 9.0-16.0

CUSA Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final CUSA Record: 4.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 13

UTEP Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 269
RPI Rank: 273
NET Rank: 249
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-2 0-3 4-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.800

Our current projections give the UTEP Miners a 0.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account UTEP’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the UTEP Miners. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

UTEP Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Permian Basin Home W 90-63
11/9 92 New Mexico St Away L 69-96
11/14 44 Arizona Away L 46-79
11/19 No Rank E New Mexico Home W 66-59
11/24 186 New Mexico Away L 78-84
11/28 92 New Mexico St Home L 58-62
12/1 330 Northwestern LA Home W 77-47
12/4 17 Marquette Away L 69-76
12/16 314 UC Riverside Home W 68-56
12/21 258 Norfolk St Home L 62-75
12/22 307 Wyoming Home W 76-65
1/3 160 UT San Antonio Away L 60-75
1/5 160 UT San Antonio Home L 63-67
1/10 79 North Texas Home L 51-58
1/12 251 Rice Home W 65-64
1/17 173 UAB Away 15.3%
1/19 323 MTSU Away 52.9%
1/24 95 Old Dominion Home 27.9%
1/26 260 Charlotte Home 61.5%
1/31 110 Marshall Away 10%
2/2 121 WKU Away 9.2%
2/7 189 FL Atlantic Home 46.3%
2/9 202 Florida Intl Home 48.2%
2/14 114 Louisiana Tech Away 11.1%
2/16 159 Southern Miss Away 15%