Vermont Catamounts Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Vermont Catamounts. All of these projections for Vermont are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Vermont Record and Rankings

Record: 27-6
Projected Final Record: 27.0-6.0

America East Conference Record: 14-2
Projected Final America East Record: 14.0-2.0
Projected Final Rank in the America East: 1

Vermont Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 85
RPI Rank: 62
NET Rank: 75
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 13 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 4-0 5-2 17-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.714 0.944

Our current projections give the Vermont Catamounts a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Vermont’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 3.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 78.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 18.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Vermont Catamounts. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Vermont Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 241 Boston Univ Away W 78-72
11/12 15 Kansas Away L 68-84
11/14 No Rank Lyndon St Home W 122-56
11/16 25 Louisville Away L 78-86
11/21 83 Yale Home W 79-70
11/25 146 Bucknell Home L 61-69
11/28 276 G Washington Away W 69-53
11/30 284 Towson Away W 70-64
12/3 150 George Mason Away W 72-67
12/8 101 Harvard Home W 71-65
12/16 79 Northeastern Home W 75-70
12/18 125 St Bonaventure Home W 83-76
12/21 67 Lipscomb Away L 66-91
1/2 245 Dartmouth Home W 73-59
1/5 281 Albany NY Away W 80-51
1/9 336 Maine Away W 73-49
1/12 197 Hartford Home W 81-62
1/16 341 New Hampshire Away W 73-59
1/19 321 Binghamton Home W 78-50
1/23 206 UMBC Home L 61-74
1/26 157 Stony Brook Away W 73-52
2/2 274 MA Lowell Away W 74-65
2/6 336 Maine Home W 86-63
2/9 281 Albany NY Home W 67-49
2/13 341 New Hampshire Home W 73-44
2/16 197 Hartford Away W 77-75
2/21 206 UMBC Away L 56-65
2/23 321 Binghamton Away W 69-63
3/2 157 Stony Brook Home W 56-50
3/5 274 MA Lowell Home W 74-57
3/9 336 Maine Home W 73-57
3/12 321 Binghamton Home W 84-51
3/16 206 UMBC Home W 66-49