Villanova Wildcats Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Villanova Wildcats. All of these projections for Villanova are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Villanova Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 25.2-3.8

Big East Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big East Record: 15.3-2.7
Projected Final Rank in the Big East: 1

Villanova Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 2
RPI Rank: 142
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 2 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Villanova Wildcats a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Villanova’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 69.6%
NCAA #2 Seed 22.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Villanova Wildcats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Villanova Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 333 Morgan St Home W 100-77
11/10 254 Quinnipiac Home W 86-53
11/14 9 Michigan Home 84.7%
11/17 40 Furman Home 89.2%
11/22 122 Canisius Neutal 93.7%
12/1 209 La Salle Neutal 96.9%
12/5 116 Temple Home 98.4%
12/8 76 St Joseph’s PA Home 92.6%
12/11 100 Penn Away 89.2%
12/15 6 Kansas Away 52.2%
12/22 160 Connecticut Neutal 96.4%
1/2 98 DePaul Home 95.7%
1/5 71 Providence Away 80.2%
1/8 72 St John’s Home 93.4%
1/13 53 Creighton Away 75.7%
1/18 50 Xavier Home 93.8%
1/22 28 Butler Away 64.5%
1/27 27 Seton Hall Home 88.1%
1/30 98 DePaul Away 85%
2/3 124 Georgetown Home 98.6%
2/6 53 Creighton Home 92.6%
2/9 31 Marquette Away 68.3%
2/13 71 Providence Home 93.4%
2/17 72 St John’s Away 80.2%
2/20 124 Georgetown Away 91.8%
2/24 50 Xavier Away 81.4%
2/27 31 Marquette Home 91.1%
3/2 28 Butler Home 88.6%
3/9 27 Seton Hall Away 64.1%