Villanova Wildcats Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Villanova Wildcats. All of these projections for Villanova are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/19/2018.

Villanova Record and Rankings

Record: 24-3
Projected Final Record: 27.1-3.9

Big East Conference Record: 11-3
Projected Final Big East Record: 14.1-3.9
Projected Final Rank in the Big East: 2

Villanova Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 2
RPI Rank: 2
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 1 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 8-2 7-1 6-0 3-0
Win % by Tier 0.800 0.875 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Villanova Wildcats a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Villanova’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 98.8%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Villanova Wildcats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Villanova Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 259 Columbia Home W 75-60
11/14 172 Nicholls St Home W 113-77
11/17 288 Lafayette Allentown, PA W 104-57
11/22 70 WKU Nassau, Bahamas W 66-58
11/23 15 Tennessee Nassau, Bahamas W 85-76
11/24 144 Northern Iowa Nassau, Bahamas W 64-50
11/29 127 Penn Home W 90-62
12/2 145 St Joseph’s PA Away W 94-53
12/5 13 Gonzaga New York, NY W 88-72
12/10 178 La Salle Home W 77-68
12/13 75 Temple Away W 87-67
12/22 139 Hofstra Uniondale, NY W 95-71
12/27 102 DePaul Away W 103-85
12/30 29 Butler Away L 93-101
1/6 47 Marquette Home W 100-90
1/10 5 Xavier Home W 89-65
1/13 64 St John’s Away W 78-71
1/17 77 Georgetown Away W 88-56
1/20 129 Connecticut Away W 81-61
1/23 55 Providence Home W 89-69
1/28 47 Marquette Away W 85-82
2/1 24 Creighton Home W 98-78
2/4 36 Seton Hall Home W 92-76
2/7 64 St John’s Home L 75-79
2/10 29 Butler Home W 86-75
2/14 55 Providence Away L 71-76
2/17 5 Xavier Away W 95-79
2/21 102 DePaul Home 95.1%
2/24 24 Creighton Away 62.8%
2/28 36 Seton Hall Away 62.8%
3/3 77 Georgetown Home 93.4%