Virginia Tech Hokies Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Virginia Tech Hokies. All of these projections for Virginia Tech are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Virginia Tech Record and Rankings

Record: 1-0
Projected Final Record: 18.4-9.6

ACC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final ACC Record: 9.8-8.2
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 7

Virginia Tech Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 22
RPI Rank: 168
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 8 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Virginia Tech Hokies a 87.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 6.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 6.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Virginia Tech’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #4 Seed 5.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 10.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 11.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 17.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 16.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 11.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 6.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 4.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 3.4%
NIT #2 Seed 1.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.8%
NIT #4 Seed 0.8%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Virginia Tech Hokies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Virginia Tech Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 265 Gardner Webb Home W 87-59
11/15 99 Ball St Neutal 77.4%
11/24 202 St Francis PA Home 96.4%
11/27 17 Penn St Away 36.2%
12/1 255 Central Conn Home 98.6%
12/5 327 VMI Home 99.1%
12/9 337 S Carolina St Home 99.4%
12/15 55 Washington Neutal 63.5%
12/19 287 NC A&T Home 98.7%
12/28 346 MD E Shore Home 99.5%
1/1 41 Notre Dame Home 75.3%
1/5 69 Boston College Home 83.3%
1/9 96 Georgia Tech Away 61.8%
1/15 4 Virginia Away 15.5%
1/19 103 Wake Forest Home 87.8%
1/21 5 North Carolina Away 16.2%
1/26 26 Syracuse Home 65.6%
1/30 23 Miami FL Away 40.9%
2/2 25 NC State Away 40.2%
2/4 38 Louisville Home 74.8%
2/9 21 Clemson Away 39.9%
2/13 96 Georgia Tech Home 87.3%
2/16 177 Pittsburgh Away 80.9%
2/18 4 Virginia Home 42.2%
2/23 41 Notre Dame Away 48.2%
2/26 1 Duke Home 27.1%
3/5 10 Florida St Away 23.8%
3/8 23 Miami FL Home 64.9%