Virginia Tech Hokies Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Virginia Tech Hokies. All of these projections for Virginia Tech are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/14/2019.

Virginia Tech Record and Rankings

Record: 19-5
Projected Final Record: 22.3-7.7

ACC Conference Record: 8-4
Projected Final ACC Record: 11.3-6.7
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 6

Virginia Tech Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 19
RPI Rank: 29
NET Rank: 13
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 6 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-4 4-1 5-0 8-0
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.800 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Virginia Tech Hokies a 95.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 1.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 2.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Virginia Tech’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #2 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 3.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 7.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 19.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 35.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 15.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 5.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.4%
NIT #5 Seed 0.4%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Virginia Tech Hokies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Virginia Tech Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 200 Gardner Webb Home W 87-59
11/15 130 Ball St Neutal W 73-64
11/16 98 Northeastern Neutal W 88-60
11/18 11 Purdue Neutal W 89-83
11/24 248 St Francis PA Home W 75-37
11/27 71 Penn St Away L 62-63
12/1 277 Central Conn Home W 94-40
12/5 321 VMI Home W 89-68
12/9 344 S Carolina St Home W 81-44
12/15 29 Washington Neutal W 73-61
12/19 298 NC A&T Home W 82-60
12/28 353 MD E Shore Home W 85-40
1/1 78 Notre Dame Home W 81-66
1/5 115 Boston College Home W 77-66
1/9 111 Georgia Tech Away W 52-49
1/15 2 Virginia Away L 59-81
1/19 173 Wake Forest Home W 87-71
1/21 7 North Carolina Away L 82-103
1/26 39 Syracuse Home W 78-56
1/30 80 Miami FL Away W 82-70
2/2 34 NC State Away W 47-24
2/4 22 Louisville Home L 64-72
2/9 36 Clemson Away L 51-59
2/13 111 Georgia Tech Home W 76-68
2/16 120 Pittsburgh Away 71.2%
2/18 2 Virginia Home 38.2%
2/23 78 Notre Dame Away 63.4%
2/26 1 Duke Home 34.7%
3/5 20 Florida St Away 39.2%
3/8 80 Miami FL Home 87.3%