Virginia Tech Hokies Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Virginia Tech Hokies. All of these projections for Virginia Tech are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Virginia Tech Record and Rankings

Record: 24-8
Projected Final Record: 24.0-8.0

ACC Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final ACC Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 5

Virginia Tech Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 17
RPI Rank: 27
NET Rank: 11
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 5 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 4-6 3-2 8-0 9-0
Win % by Tier 0.400 0.600 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Virginia Tech Hokies a 99.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Virginia Tech’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #2 Seed 3.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 5.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 18.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 55.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 12.8%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Virginia Tech Hokies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Virginia Tech Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 163 Gardner Webb Home W 87-59
11/15 149 Ball St Neutal W 73-64
11/16 79 Northeastern Neutal W 88-60
11/18 12 Purdue Neutal W 89-83
11/24 242 St Francis PA Home W 75-37
11/27 53 Penn St Away L 62-63
12/1 322 Central Conn Home W 94-40
12/5 275 VMI Home W 89-68
12/9 342 S Carolina St Home W 81-44
12/15 42 Washington Neutal W 73-61
12/19 290 NC A&T Home W 82-60
12/28 352 MD E Shore Home W 85-40
1/1 103 Notre Dame Home W 81-66
1/5 119 Boston College Home W 77-66
1/9 99 Georgia Tech Away W 52-49
1/15 1 Virginia Away L 59-81
1/19 151 Wake Forest Home W 87-71
1/21 4 North Carolina Away L 82-103
1/26 36 Syracuse Home W 78-56
1/30 84 Miami FL Away W 82-70
2/2 33 NC State Away W 47-24
2/4 25 Louisville Home L 64-72
2/9 31 Clemson Away L 51-59
2/13 99 Georgia Tech Home W 76-68
2/16 121 Pittsburgh Away W 70-64
2/18 1 Virginia Home L 58-64
2/23 103 Notre Dame Away W 67-59
2/26 2 Duke Home W 77-72
3/5 10 Florida St Away L 64-73
3/8 84 Miami FL Home W 84-70
3/13 84 Miami FL Neutal W 71-56
3/14 10 Florida St Neutral L 63-65