VMI Keydets Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the VMI Keydets. All of these projections for VMI are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

VMI Record and Rankings

Record: 6-11
Projected Final Record: 8.7-21.3

Southern Conference Record: 0-5
Projected Final Southern Record: 2.7-15.3
Projected Final Rank in the Southern: 10

VMI Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 318
RPI Rank: 275
NET Rank: 332
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-4 0-2 3-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.500

Our current projections give the VMI Keydets a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account VMI’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the VMI Keydets. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

VMI Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Washington MD Home W 89-56
11/9 62 Pittsburgh Away L 55-94
11/11 No Rank Goucher Home W 98-34
11/14 328 SC Upstate Home W 78-72
11/18 12 Kentucky Away L 82-92
11/20 No Rank Kentucky Chr Home W 106-80
11/23 347 Stetson Away W 87-79
11/27 222 American Univ Home L 64-74
12/1 221 Longwood Away L 45-65
12/5 9 Virginia Tech Away L 68-89
12/9 261 Chattanooga Away L 65-83
12/12 225 Presbyterian Away L 70-103
12/21 294 North Alabama Home W 89-68
12/29 158 Samford Away L 68-96
1/5 63 UNC Greensboro Home L 68-71
1/10 66 Furman Home L 57-89
1/12 37 Wofford Home L 76-90
1/17 55 ETSU Away 1.6%
1/19 262 W Carolina Home 43.5%
1/24 210 Mercer Away 15.8%
1/26 203 Citadel Away 16.7%
1/31 63 UNC Greensboro Away 6.6%
2/7 261 Chattanooga Home 43.7%
2/9 158 Samford Home 25.7%
2/14 37 Wofford Away 1.5%
2/16 66 Furman Away 7%
2/21 55 ETSU Home 11.1%
2/23 262 W Carolina Away 25.7%
2/28 210 Mercer Home 37.2%
3/2 203 Citadel Home 38.2%